Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1db3cec353b0b7b8814b023710578585dde0a548fb58375bb8dd48310b972c56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Hereticsof Team Heretics, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Team Heretics | 62c | 3,239$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Karmine Corp | 37c | 2,448$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.11 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Karmine Corp | 41c | 2,136$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.98 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Team Heretics | 56c | 1,774$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.5 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Heretics | 67c | 1,449$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.88 | 932 | 48.1%448 W · 484 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Karmine Corp | 33c | 813$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.12 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Karmine Corp | 43c | 776.16$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.95 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Heretics | 62c | 762.27$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.27 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked Karmine Corp | 32c | 506.8$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.02 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Karmine Corp | 37c | 496$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.52 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Heretics | 54c | 400.5$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.05 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Team Heretics | 62c | 365.97$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.16 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Heretics | 56c | 360.18$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.48 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Team Heretics | 61c | 354.83$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.46 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Heretics | 63c | 340.69$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.24 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…5366backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 300$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Heretics | 55c | 257.2$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.11 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 234.78$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Heretics | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Team Heretics | 58c | 212.03$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.03 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0002…103ebacked Karmine Corp | 36c | 210$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…73b3backed Karmine Corp | 61c | 208.73$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 194.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 175 | 37.7%66 W · 109 L | -14.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Karmine Corp | 10c | 188$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…e363backed Karmine Corp | 30c | 168.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Team Heretics | 68c | 137.49$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Karmine Corp | 37c | 129$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecd…091dbacked Team Heretics | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f31…22d5backed Team Heretics | 77c | 119.62$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…b93cbacked Team Heretics | 54c | 118.85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed Karmine Corp | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Karmine Corp | 27c | 105.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…a659backed Karmine Corp | 45c | 100.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Heretics | 64c | 98.11$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 893 | 44.3%396 W · 497 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eda…3b84backed Karmine Corp | 24c | 95.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f68…c2ecbacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Karmine Corp | 36c | 79.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb873…c4ecbacked Karmine Corp | 33c | 52.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Team Heretics | 60c | 50.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Team Heretics | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Karmine Corp | 43c | 46.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3199…0a40backed Team Heretics | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949d…374cbacked Karmine Corp | 32c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb108…7212backed Karmine Corp | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Heretics | 45c | 39.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d2…4fb3backed Karmine Corp | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…f102backed Karmine Corp | 39c | 28.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…acaabacked Karmine Corp | 47c | 25.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Team Heretics | 57c | 23.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Team Heretics | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534a…0575backed Team Heretics | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff PlayoffsTeam Heretics won
- Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.