Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1337a35707e2897c2cf4c529b45e86adfdbf32833e079e74efd7bf70b9639d02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Team Heretics, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Heretics | 58c | 1,017$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.02 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 660$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Karmine Corp | 59c | 264$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.34 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Heretics | 30c | 239.93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.47 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Karmine Corp | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…73b3backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 226.91$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Karmine Corp | 60c | 220$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Karmine Corp | 43c | 210.98$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.47 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked Team Heretics | 24c | 208.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Karmine Corp | 53c | 175.91$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.12 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked Team Heretics | 58c | 170$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked Team Heretics | 41c | 165.62$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Karmine Corp | 53c | 165.37$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.19 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Karmine Corp | 73c | 162.52$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…5b3abacked Team Heretics | 20c | 140.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed Team Heretics | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Karmine Corp | 60c | 66.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Karmine Corp | 53c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Team Heretics | 58c | 57.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 55.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Team Heretics | 48c | 42.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Karmine Corp | 42c | 41.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed Team Heretics | 59c | 36.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Karmine Corp | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…e363backed Team Heretics | 38c | 29.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Team Heretics | 55c | 18.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…2c45backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff PlayoffsTeam Heretics won
- Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 WinnerTeam Heretics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.