MLB · resolved market
Rangers vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc917e643b61c58e7bbf90570fe4b138051fb0f199ce644e54fd9462e7788d8fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Rangers, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $349,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $362,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $349,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Padres | 55c | 204,296$112,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,041.16 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Rangers | 45c | 55,000$24,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,750 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rangers | 45c | 51,211$23,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,044.96 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rangers | 45c | 31,986$14,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,373.87 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rangers | 45c | 30,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Rangers | 44c | 16,025$7,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,051.98 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…293abacked Rangers | 53c | 13,146$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Padres | 56c | 11,254$6,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,951.63 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Rangers | 52c | 9,707$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Padres | 46c | 7,206$3,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,859.35 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Padres | 75c | 4,500$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rangers | 45c | 4,393$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.62 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Padres | 55c | 3,934$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.4 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers | 16c | 3,548$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 45c | 2,268$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.93 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Padres | 54c | 2,140$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.45 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Padres | 49c | 2,066$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.17 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Rangers | 45c | 1,957$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.64 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Padres | 51c | 1,950$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.48 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Padres | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rangers | 45c | 1,780$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Padres | 71c | 1,530$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.75 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Rangers | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Rangers | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Rangers | 1c | 1,253$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Rangers | 30c | 1,252$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.44 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Padres | 43c | 1,162$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.49 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…cf94backed Rangers | 46c | 1,152$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Rangers | 46c | 1,104$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.05 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 41c | 1,035$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.74 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Padres | 50c | 1,004$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.66 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 56c | 982.14$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.14 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Padres | 54c | 965.74$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.99 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Rangers | 54c | 927.52$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Rangers | 52c | 842.97$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Padres | 47c | 838.22$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.9 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rangers | 46c | 799.97$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Rangers | 14c | 731.79$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.68 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Rangers | 3c | 674.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Padres | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rangers | 54c | 649.07$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…d8b9backed Padres | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Padres | 45c | 590$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.5 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Padres | 54c | 521.73$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Rangers | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61ba…f006backed Padres | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed Rangers | 59c | 484.75$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Rangers | 4c | 455.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Rangers | 50c | 432.84$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Padres | 53c | 428.14$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.23 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Padres | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Rangers | 46c | 328.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rangers | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rangers | 44c | 299.97$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…6479backed Padres | 69c | 279.85$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.96 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Rangers | 45c | 254.94$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.72 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rangers | 29c | 250$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe69b…6afdbacked Rangers | 18c | 247.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Padres | 50c | 243.56$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.68 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Rangers | 49c | 234.46$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.63 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Padres | 55c | 221.63$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.63 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…4e2abacked Rangers | 59c | 214.64$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers | 15c | 211.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Padres | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…22ddbacked Rangers | 49c | 203.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Rangers | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Rangers | 45c | 199$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.55 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8e…aea5backed Rangers | 45c | 191.11$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Rangers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Rangers | 45c | 187.64$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.44 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Padres | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b1…6dd8backed Rangers | 45c | 182.22$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…51c6backed Rangers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Padres | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Padres | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Rangers | 47c | 165.24$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.93 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…9272backed Padres | 55c | 165$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rangers | 44c | 157.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Rangers | 53c | 157.22$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.85 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Padres | 52c | 155.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.21 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb544…7fdcbacked Rangers | 45c | 153.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Padres | 55c | 150$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.14 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Rangers | 45c | 149.24$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Padres | 48c | 146.34$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Padres | 54c | 146.3$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.3 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Padres | 58c | 140.05$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.05 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Rangers | 46c | 137.93$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…ba32backed Rangers | 45c | 137.77$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Padres | 47c | 134.74$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…ff8cbacked Rangers | 45c | 133.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Padres | 76c | 131.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…047fbacked Rangers | 47c | 129.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Rangers | 47c | 128$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc246…b17dbacked Padres | 56c | 126.52$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8419…810fbacked Padres | 55c | 121.83$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Padres | 50c | 120.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…1744backed Padres | 55c | 118.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Padres | 54c | 118.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.43 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.