F1 · resolved market
Hamilton vs. Leclerc
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x019c44a10df6f90ca85a5a547ad233ecec3622446a3aabf1211467f8d5df255a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hamiltonof Hamilton, Leclerc
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb747…b050backed Leclerc | 59c | 5,633$3,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,323.45 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Hamilton | 41c | 5,272$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,110.65 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Leclerc | 46c | 1,723$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.68 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7566…ae05backed Hamilton | 54c | 579.37$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.51 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Hamilton | 54c | 465$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Hamilton | 51c | 428.64$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Leclerc | 60c | 386.51$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…f91bbacked Hamilton | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed Hamilton | 80c | 210$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Hamilton | 41c | 196.34$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.34 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Hamilton | 54c | 189.92$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Hamilton | 51c | 186.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.57 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426e…5922backed Hamilton | 40c | 175$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…ad17backed Hamilton | 41c | 122.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Leclerc | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Hamilton | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…8f79backed Hamilton | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc543…5f3cbacked Hamilton | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Leclerc | 49c | 37.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…fa11backed Leclerc | 79c | 25.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc216…b083backed Hamilton | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0b…41febacked Hamilton | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamilton vs. Leclercthis page
- Alonso vs. Stroll Stroll won
- Hadjar vs. TsunodaTsunoda won
- Hamilton vs. RussellHamilton won
- Leclerc vs. RussellRussell won
- Leclerc vs. VerstappenVerstappen won
- Piastri vs. Norris Norris won
- Verstappen vs. Norris Norris won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.