MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a6563bf90e167ff16377cc97f8f87e315916ea7955640f1ed2ac9ce28238366
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Marlins, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,194,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,460,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,194,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Reds | 58c | 741,931$432,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308,941.53 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins | 42c | 187,652$77,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,937.36 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Marlins | 42c | 129,605$54,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,484.65 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Marlins | 42c | 88,888$36,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,888.52 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 42c | 46,090$19,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,357.99 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Marlins | 41c | 45,976$18,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,850.21 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 42c | 45,191$18,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,880.59 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Marlins | 41c | 44,444$18,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,222.04 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Marlins | 42c | 38,574$16,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,101.24 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Marlins | 42c | 19,995$8,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,397.9 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Marlins | 41c | 17,803$7,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,328.18 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Reds | 58c | 17,508$10,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,346.58 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Marlins | 43c | 16,100$6,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,923 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 12c | 15,013$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.61 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 42c | 13,500$5,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,665 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Marlins | 33c | 12,200$4,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,062.7 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Marlins | 42c | 8,281$3,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,477.92 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 43c | 5,595$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.64 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Marlins | 42c | 5,073$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.22 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 23c | 4,783$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.29 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Marlins | 43c | 4,444$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.91 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Reds | 57c | 4,123$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.03 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Marlins | 41c | 3,600$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Reds | 59c | 3,138$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.71 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac6…f6eabacked Marlins | 18c | 3,108$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.58 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…6815backed Marlins | 18c | 2,838$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Marlins | 42c | 2,800$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 19c | 2,749$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.34 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 11c | 2,647$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Reds | 56c | 2,569$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.65 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Marlins | 41c | 2,540$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.73 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Marlins | 41c | 2,131$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.82 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Marlins | 10c | 2,028$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.45 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Marlins | 1c | 1,942$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Marlins | 42c | 1,900$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Marlins | 2c | 1,866$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…d1cabacked Marlins | 2c | 1,849$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Marlins | 42c | 1,600$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Marlins | 15c | 1,556$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.83 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marlins | 44c | 1,502$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Reds | 56c | 1,253$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.25 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Marlins | 7c | 1,229$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c23…f642backed Marlins | 44c | 1,166$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.07 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…c1c1backed Reds | 56c | 1,166$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.03 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Marlins | 43c | 1,137$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.89 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Marlins | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Marlins | 44c | 950.84$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.37 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Marlins | 42c | 930$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.3 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Reds | 56c | 903.63$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.6 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Reds | 58c | 860.82$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.82 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Marlins | 44c | 579.36$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.92 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Marlins | 13c | 506.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Reds | 57c | 456.14$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.14 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Reds | 56c | 437$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.28 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Reds | 58c | 431.71$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.72 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Reds | 56c | 430.96$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.62 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…ba10backed Marlins | 11c | 420.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Marlins | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Marlins | 41c | 385$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.85 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Marlins | 14c | 368.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 42c | 339.79$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.3 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x603f…eae9backed Reds | 58c | 336.17$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Marlins | 43c | 335.31$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.98 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Marlins | 29c | 316.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Marlins | 17c | 311.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Reds | 57c | 290.53$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.93 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Reds | 57c | 270$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Marlins | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…a187backed Marlins | 21c | 231.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Marlins | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Marlins | 42c | 223.75$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Marlins | 45c | 222.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Marlins | 42c | 202.02$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Marlins | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Reds | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Reds | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Reds | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Reds | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…a24cbacked Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Marlins | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Marlins | 23c | 195.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Reds | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Reds | 57c | 174.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.33 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Marlins | 12c | 170$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Reds | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…b35dbacked Marlins | 16c | 153.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Reds | 58c | 139.05$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Marlins | 44c | 132$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Marlins | 43c | 124.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Reds | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Marlins | 42c | 113.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Marlins | 43c | 104.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…74c9backed Reds | 60c | 103.93$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Marlins | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Reds | 59c | 99.42$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.