Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: G2 vs. FURIA
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d31f5b27fd4872a1514c3bf4970221242fa0d265e12b329ab398a652b0eada8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of G2, FURIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1032…77f1backed FURIA | 4c | 9,160$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.42 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed FURIA | 36c | 5,771$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.34 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed G2 | 65c | 5,686$3,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.59 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed FURIA | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.99 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed G2 | 69c | 3,689$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.05 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked FURIA | 31c | 3,225$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.75 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed FURIA | 31c | 2,610$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.56 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed FURIA | 31c | 1,452$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked G2 | 69c | 1,415$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.5 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed G2 | 74c | 1,350$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.7 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed FURIA | 8c | 1,151$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked G2 | 68c | 1,101$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.28 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed G2 | 67c | 1,081$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.58 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked G2 | 68c | 1,075$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.3 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed G2 | 69c | 1,061$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.8 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked G2 | 71c | 1,056$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.39 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed FURIA | 33c | 1,012$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.3 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked G2 | 69c | 873.48$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.78 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…0b6bbacked FURIA | 3c | 819.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed FURIA | 25c | 803.02$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.97 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed FURIA | 31c | 734.31$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.7 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed FURIA | 2c | 719.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed G2 | 63c | 700$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked FURIA | 4c | 614.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…6743backed FURIA | 2c | 606.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed FURIA | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed FURIA | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…d597backed FURIA | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x074d…bcb6backed G2 | 69c | 404.94$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.53 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked FURIA | 9c | 390$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed G2 | 69c | 361.37$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fed…fa70backed G2 | 69c | 338.01$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.78 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FURIA | 5c | 327$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d5…9562backed FURIA | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…db6ebacked FURIA | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked FURIA | 30c | 295.13$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.54 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed G2 | 66c | 289.19$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.69 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked G2 | 72c | 239.64$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked G2 | 65c | 190$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed FURIA | 6c | 182$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed G2 | 67c | 181.02$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd303…9c76backed G2 | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed G2 | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb78…3acfbacked FURIA | 35c | 143.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…1da1backed G2 | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…fca1backed G2 | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07be…8bf9backed G2 | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked G2 | 62c | 113.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73fc…4fbfbacked FURIA | 32c | 109.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…9fcfbacked FURIA | 16c | 107.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed G2 | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda5…531fbacked G2 | 74c | 99.41$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…b28abacked G2 | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed FURIA | 32c | 87.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked FURIA | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a10…023fbacked G2 | 68c | 73.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…8732backed G2 | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f9…605cbacked G2 | 70c | 70.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed FURIA | 34c | 64.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed FURIA | 31c | 61.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…b19dbacked FURIA | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…2766backed FURIA | 25c | 54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -35%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…25e7backed G2 | 66c | 48.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked FURIA | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a4edbacked G2 | 68c | 40.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed G2 | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6528…8aefbacked G2 | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked G2 | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…8d1bbacked G2 | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…0e43backed G2 | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…fa11backed G2 | 75c | 17.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.