MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x671b31af60418c71bf13a0862986a1770ee2815819989654ad066aacce54a43c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Royals, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $259,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Royals | 42c | 71,926$30,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,717.18 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 51,605$29,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,930.95 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Diamondbacks | 5c | 19,016$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.29 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Diamondbacks | 39c | 18,494$7,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,302.35 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Diamondbacks | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Diamondbacks | 61c | 9,053$5,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,561.53 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 29c | 8,994$2,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,634.93 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Royals | 38c | 8,215$3,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,067.57 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 5,376$3,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,048.35 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Royals | 63c | 4,729$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.37 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…293abacked Royals | 44c | 4,554$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,553.57 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Diamondbacks | 18c | 4,135$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.41 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Royals | 62c | 3,990$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.62 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 58c | 3,801$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.58 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 27c | 3,711$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.58 | 9,891 | 46.4%4,594 W · 5,297 L | +40.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Royals | 65c | 3,090$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 2,888$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.02 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 2,600$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.27 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Royals | 41c | 2,455$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.43 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Royals | 41c | 2,363$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.41 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Royals | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Diamondbacks | 2c | 1,830$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals | 43c | 1,788$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.43 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Diamondbacks | 59c | 1,600$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks | 4c | 1,267$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf513…8297backed Royals | 67c | 1,103$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.28 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 999.96$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.98 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Diamondbacks | 3c | 988.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 329 | 32.2%106 W · 223 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Royals | 42c | 900$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Royals | 48c | 868.36$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.23 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 30c | 789.2$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.57 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e93…a140backed Royals | 39c | 762.9$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Diamondbacks | 2c | 759.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 628 | 46.2%290 W · 338 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Royals | 37c | 542.5$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.7 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Diamondbacks | 4c | 518.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Diamondbacks | 4c | 503.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,219 | 40.4%493 W · 726 L | -33.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 466$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.28 | 1,361 | 50.8%691 W · 670 L | +13.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 43c | 463.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.38 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Diamondbacks | 3c | 456.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 448$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.88 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Royals | 42c | 397$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.26 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 387.66$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.74 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Royals | 41c | 366.61$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.3 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…cf94backed Diamondbacks | 32c | 337.5$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Royals | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Royals | 46c | 302.17$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.17 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Royals | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 162 | 57.4%93 W · 69 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Royals | 45c | 299.97$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.98 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Royals | 41c | 259$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.81 | 2,064 | 53.8%1,110 W · 954 L | +32.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Diamondbacks | 16c | 253.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Royals | 41c | 245$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 1,452 | 49.9%725 W · 727 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Royals | 41c | 244$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.96 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Royals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 237$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.46 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Royals | 46c | 231.78$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.78 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…db66backed Royals | 77c | 231.01$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 229.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Royals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Royals | 76c | 213.64$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 177.24$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…84f6backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -11.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Diamondbacks | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 162.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.25 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Diamondbacks | 12c | 162.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed Royals | 73c | 152.05$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Royals | 57c | 146.86$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Diamondbacks | 28c | 143$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Royals | 42c | 143$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.94 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Royals | 42c | 133.37$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.75 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks | 13c | 123.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Royals | 41c | 117.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.51 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…b35abacked Diamondbacks | 17c | 113.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Royals | 45c | 108.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 22c | 108.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 4,201 | 50.2%2,109 W · 2,092 L | +94.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Royals | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Royals | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Diamondbacks | 16c | 91.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1,204 | 48.5%584 W · 620 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 1,420 | 48.9%694 W · 726 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…22ddbacked Diamondbacks | 31c | 63.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Royals | 43c | 61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Royals | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Royals | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd920…b7b6backed Royals | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 49.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Diamondbacks | 31c | 45.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e99…ff85backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Diamondbacks | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656a…f720backed Royals | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf62…227dbacked Royals | 41c | 36.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…5032backed Royals | 41c | 35.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.