WNBA · resolved market
Valkyries vs Dream
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8679c0976b46309a6c9c4b049cc339a3bcc3a2846d11c28e922454d504e547c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dreamof Valkyries, Dream
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Dream | 56c | 4,045$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.01 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Valkyries | 27c | 2,778$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.96 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Dream | 73c | 2,423$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 75cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdefa…d306backed Dream | 73c | 1,675$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Dream | 50c | 1,631$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Dream | 73c | 1,550$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.61 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Valkyries | 35c | 1,537$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Dream | 63c | 1,492$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.43 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dream | 72c | 1,411$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.2 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Valkyries | 38c | 1,326$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.83 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Valkyries | 48c | 1,296$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Valkyries | 53c | 960$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.7 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Valkyries | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Valkyries | 35c | 764.13$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.84 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked Valkyries | 28c | 726.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Dream | 71c | 721.64$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.54 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…cad9backed Dream | 73c | 671.26$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Dream | 50c | 563.41$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Valkyries | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Valkyries | 44c | 492.41$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.38 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed Dream | 72c | 483.78$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Valkyries | 53c | 375$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.88 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Valkyries | 27c | 373.56$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Valkyries | 27c | 372.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Valkyries | 28c | 360.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Dream | 70c | 310$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Dream | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Valkyries | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Valkyries | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Valkyries | 25c | 230$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Dream | 73c | 223$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Valkyries | 28c | 183.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Dream | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Dream | 73c | 181$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Valkyries | 26c | 149.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Dream | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…565fbacked Valkyries | 28c | 120.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Valkyries | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Valkyries | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Valkyries | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Valkyries | 49c | 81.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Valkyries | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Valkyries | 38c | 57.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed Valkyries | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4771…3a3bbacked Valkyries | 27c | 45.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Dream | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Valkyries | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Valkyries | 50c | 33.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…7853backed Valkyries | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…fa11backed Dream | 71c | 18.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.