Mls · resolved market
MLS: Will Inter Miami beat New York Red Bulls?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d303de2bc2c4deb22c722de4da86ad497499d9152f65a2de4abacd08c50e26e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x743e…16aebacked No | 68c | 6,217$4,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,227.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 38c | 4,257$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.51 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 63c | 2,831$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.24 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 37c | 2,232$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 32c | 1,190$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.45 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 64c | 1,096$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.2 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked No | 62c | 576$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +212%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 35c | 486.82$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.88 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 63c | 418.23$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.7 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 68c | 147.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 61.3%98 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 69c | 145.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…1966backed Yes | 34c | 88.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed No | 64c | 71.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 64c | 70$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed No | 65c | 69.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 69.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Yes | 31c | 64.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…697ebacked Yes | 32c | 63.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 67c | 58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 64c | 56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Yes | 34c | 54.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…ed1dbacked No | 65c | 39.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 68c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 66c | 19.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- MLS: Will Inter Miami beat New York Red Bulls?this page
- MLS: Will New York Red Bulls beat Inter Miami?No won
- MLS: Will New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.