Mls · resolved market
MLS: Will Inter Miami beat FC Cincinnati?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78e9ebad5e29ca75898e80c7a7eec5a7778af9a33bf5a9df345a0cafe7d4241f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 60c | 15,430$9,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,185.77 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 41c | 10,492$4,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,317.26 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 38c | 6,395$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.94 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Yes | 42c | 4,764$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…6d22backed No | 61c | 4,107$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 60c | 2,803$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.48 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Yes | 40c | 2,120$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 64c | 1,639$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.97 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 29c | 1,160$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.17 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 58c | 1,037$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.1 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 60c | 914.82$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a70…7057backed Yes | 41c | 843.67$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yes | 38c | 473$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.74 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 33c | 467$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.12 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 42c | 336.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 60c | 304.82$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.04 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 42c | 235.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 60c | 193$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.41 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 63c | 189$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Yes | 36c | 104$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 40c | 98.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed No | 58c | 98.59$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…1966backed Yes | 37c | 80.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 42c | 69.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed Yes | 27c | 64.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…80cdbacked Yes | 36c | 56.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed No | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed No | 59c | 50.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked No | 62c | 49.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32f…4f6cbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…ae7cbacked No | 61c | 48.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Yes | 43c | 41.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…4e0bbacked Yes | 37c | 37.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…32c1backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…1a90backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab14…d3fbbacked Yes | 40c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked No | 60c | 29.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +212%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…0797backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 66c | 15.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- MLS: Will Inter Miami beat FC Cincinnati?this page
- MLS: Will FC Cincinnati beat Inter Miami?Yes won
- MLS: Will FC Cincinnati vs. Inter Miami end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.