NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1d6db0a2b42e52ef4959bfd4178a0e5b0d072c44ef1a5f29d18d4f2e27513db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Ducks, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Kraken | 9c | 5,941$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.4 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 29c | 1,739$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.95 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Ducks | 57c | 1,600$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.95 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd837…ba4abacked Kraken | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Kraken | 55c | 1,200$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.31 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kraken | 55c | 779.82$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.9 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…ae6fbacked Ducks | 46c | 709.99$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253a…6aadbacked Kraken | 59c | 573.73$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Kraken | 55c | 548.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.96 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…47e9backed Ducks | 46c | 511.55$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Ducks | 43c | 507.08$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.76 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…3290backed Ducks | 33c | 503.78$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Ducks | 43c | 501.8$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Kraken | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Ducks | 44c | 442.19$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.75 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ducks | 47c | 420.55$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.55 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kraken | 10c | 324.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…cc0dbacked Ducks | 46c | 276.13$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Kraken | 54c | 271.85$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.8 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kraken | 53c | 260.48$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.05 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…3541backed Ducks | 45c | 247.52$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kraken | 36c | 230.93$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.09 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Ducks | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Kraken | 55c | 207.8$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.29 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Ducks | 80c | 183.62$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Ducks | 46c | 183.33$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6e…f1d6backed Kraken | 54c | 179.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Kraken | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Ducks | 44c | 178.57$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecd2…03bbbacked Kraken | 56c | 168$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Ducks | 47c | 158.7$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Ducks | 46c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.75 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Ducks | 44c | 134.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.59 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa490…ba96backed Ducks | 45c | 131.84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…e4a4backed Ducks | 46c | 131.74$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Kraken | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x893c…9ed2backed Kraken | 57c | 130.19$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…ca49backed Ducks | 46c | 128.87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2f…64e9backed Ducks | 46c | 126.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ace…c22dbacked Kraken | 55c | 118.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…5ea7backed Ducks | 46c | 118.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.87 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdf…b489backed Kraken | 54c | 117.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Ducks | 44c | 116.15$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6de…58c3backed Ducks | 45c | 111.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Ducks | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9be3backed Ducks | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…a614backed Ducks | 47c | 110.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce7…baa8backed Kraken | 54c | 109.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b40…0268backed Kraken | 57c | 107.32$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2235…d67fbacked Kraken | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…2573backed Kraken | 55c | 106.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…a2f6backed Kraken | 55c | 100.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Ducks | 45c | 100.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Kraken | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Ducks | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Kraken | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Kraken | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1984…241ebacked Kraken | 56c | 98.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…f213backed Ducks | 46c | 97.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…ed01backed Kraken | 56c | 90.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Kraken | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Kraken | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba40…b7b7backed Kraken | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ff…1238backed Ducks | 45c | 71.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e09…86a4backed Kraken | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Kraken | 70c | 59.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Ducks | 44c | 57.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Ducks | 42c | 57.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Kraken | 54c | 55.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9009…6e57backed Ducks | 45c | 53.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Kraken | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Kraken | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Ducks | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Kraken | 55c | 49.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Ducks | 46c | 49.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf538…9158backed Kraken | 56c | 48.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x199b…3b17backed Kraken | 56c | 47.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a2…42d0backed Ducks | 46c | 43.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c4…d91cbacked Kraken | 54c | 43.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…dd94backed Ducks | 45c | 42.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd580…0789backed Kraken | 55c | 42.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d4…42a8backed Ducks | 45c | 42.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2142…79fdbacked Ducks | 45c | 39.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Ducks | 43c | 37.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…9441backed Kraken | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35d5…1ff1backed Ducks | 46c | 36.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Kraken | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12a9…6145backed Ducks | 43c | 34.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0d…1598backed Kraken | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0946…5aa8backed Ducks | 43c | 32.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277f…4d50backed Kraken | 56c | 32.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde11…5424backed Ducks | 33c | 31.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974d…6f36backed Ducks | 43c | 30.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…1ea2backed Kraken | 57c | 30.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b6…2008backed Kraken | 59c | 29.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1743…7a59backed Ducks | 45c | 27.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89f…6a27backed Kraken | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…b3d1backed Kraken | 57c | 25.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…0887backed Ducks | 45c | 25.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ab…2f36backed Ducks | 42c | 24.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.