La Liga · resolved market
Will Barcelona beat Valladolid?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe561719d47bb936ba25be07523cc7ec6fc18eb2cbf2579e69ff08baa224df4eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 41c | 7,038$2,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904.12 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 22c | 4,207$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.7 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 19c | 3,947$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.13 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…8826backed Yes | 55c | 2,243$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 47c | 1,645$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.81 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 76c | 1,513$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.16 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 76c | 1,489$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…7470backed Yes | 72c | 1,451$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 43c | 1,235$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.04 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 59c | 1,158$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.3 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 75c | 1,140$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.81 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 54c | 880.61$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 60c | 676.05$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.6 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed No | 16c | 670.03$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 15c | 605$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Yes | 57c | 582.45$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa088…d438backed Yes | 68c | 551.03$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked Yes | 57c | 526$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.18 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 28c | 503.39$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Yes | 77c | 494.21$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 77c | 453.25$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Yes | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed Yes | 56c | 351.3$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 61c | 340.08$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.47 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…56b5backed Yes | 52c | 333$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 16c | 304.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 78c | 270$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0433…8b4fbacked No | 19c | 232.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 25c | 223.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked No | 25c | 177.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89f…6a27backed Yes | 75c | 176.56$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 62c | 172.96$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed No | 24c | 158.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -46%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 53c | 143$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 55c | 143$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.42 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 76c | 132.79$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 70c | 102.16$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe112…987cbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3869…2d67backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 56c | 99.91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 70c | 92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…c378backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed Yes | 79c | 88.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…d3f7backed Yes | 64c | 79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…be2ebacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +89%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed No | 26c | 44.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 55c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…15ddbacked No | 28c | 38.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…675abacked Yes | 54c | 37.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Barcelona beat Valladolid?this page
- Will Valladolid beat Barcelona?No won
- Will Valladolid vs. Barcelona end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.