NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d8d06f34afa19f090d7ee1ebf2f483f95474dad630b3f24998ba2153d82554c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Capitals, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Flames | 15c | 3,191$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.12 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Capitals | 77c | 1,156$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.54 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…ae6fbacked Flames | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd837…ba4abacked Capitals | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Flames | 42c | 1,019$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.82 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flames | 42c | 1,014$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.15 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Flames | 43c | 943.41$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.93 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Capitals | 61c | 791.76$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.74 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Flames | 26c | 697.9$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.43 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Flames | 29c | 504$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Capitals | 57c | 485.84$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.91 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05db…5676backed Capitals | 56c | 401.09$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Capitals | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Flames | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…3290backed Capitals | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84b5…e9a2backed Capitals | 58c | 348.31$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Capitals | 76c | 327.85$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Flames | 40c | 313.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Capitals | 57c | 291.84$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.31 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 72c | 281.2$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.89 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flames | 45c | 268.19$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.71 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Flames | 43c | 247.31$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.16 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Flames | 23c | 236.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc25…d781backed Flames | 49c | 235.94$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…206abacked Capitals | 58c | 212.17$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Capitals | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Capitals | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Flames | 43c | 171.43$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc93…4249backed Capitals | 59c | 169.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9969…c885backed Capitals | 70c | 165$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e09…86a4backed Flames | 30c | 165$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Capitals | 73c | 152.04$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Capitals | 54c | 151.9$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Flames | 43c | 116.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9be3backed Flames | 44c | 114.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Flames | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Flames | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2235…d67fbacked Flames | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Capitals | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flames | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Capitals | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Capitals | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Flames | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 56c | 99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…9441backed Flames | 39c | 90.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdba2…cb54backed Flames | 43c | 75.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fd…d003backed Capitals | 58c | 75.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Capitals | 76c | 60.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…ffd4backed Capitals | 58c | 52.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a83…1babbacked Capitals | 73c | 51.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Capitals | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Capitals | 56c | 44.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2881…9c65backed Flames | 51c | 43.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x121e…8de7backed Capitals | 49c | 43.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1984…241ebacked Capitals | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…22a4backed Capitals | 50c | 41.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +68%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Flames | 38c | 40.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…d1b6backed Flames | 44c | 37.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Capitals | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…7745backed Flames | 43c | 34.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…11e8backed Capitals | 57c | 34.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +134.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Capitals | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a9…9f4bbacked Capitals | 57c | 32.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…12fbbacked Flames | 43c | 32.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1f…8cbdbacked Flames | 42c | 31.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e52…0bb3backed Capitals | 57c | 29.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb401…58a1backed Flames | 43c | 28.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…50b6backed Capitals | 58c | 28.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ce…9efdbacked Capitals | 58c | 28.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd9…bd56backed Flames | 43c | 28.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842d…4679backed Capitals | 51c | 27.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc22…9a34backed Flames | 43c | 27.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…5a9ebacked Capitals | 57c | 27.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…2853backed Flames | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba2…047bbacked Flames | 50c | 27.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3d…60f3backed Flames | 49c | 26.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Capitals | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89f…6a27backed Capitals | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25da…db77backed Flames | 43c | 25.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe678…86c9backed Flames | 50c | 24.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d1…47b7backed Flames | 43c | 24.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc154…5130backed Capitals | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…e4b9backed Flames | 44c | 23.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d0…f5dabacked Capitals | 58c | 23.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67cf…2149backed Capitals | 58c | 21.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffc…7639backed Capitals | 58c | 21.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…7548backed Capitals | 59c | 21.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…0c9abacked Capitals | 57c | 21.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ae…fde0backed Capitals | 52c | 20.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…71a1backed Flames | 51c | 20.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c2…7338backed Capitals | 58c | 20.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7090…0414backed Capitals | 58c | 20.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…3494backed Capitals | 51c | 20.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d0…0762backed Capitals | 51c | 20.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…3607backed Capitals | 58c | 20.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…53fbbacked Capitals | 65c | 19.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…07f3backed Capitals | 58c | 19.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…d057backed Capitals | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.