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Tennis · resolved market

Roland Garros WTA: Emma Navarro vs Janice Tjen

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Emma Navarroof Emma Navarro, Janice Tjen
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$410,348
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$432,778

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $410,348 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf883…cd1fbacked Emma Navarro78c169,276$131,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,572.21681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.22per pick60cpaid+48.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Janice Tjen19c90,136$16,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,824.0313843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked Janice Tjen22c58,264$12,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,817.972948.3%14 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+55.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde0f…ddd3backed Janice Tjen18c15,400$2,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,71010437.5%39 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Janice Tjen22c14,984$3,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,339.51,68350.6%851 W · 832 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Janice Tjen22c14,000$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0804,08239.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L+93.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5af4…a7dfbacked Emma Navarro79c10,000$7,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1005030%15 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa82a…a759backed Emma Navarro76c10,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40033955.2%187 W · 152 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Janice Tjen23c7,235$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.532,20436.9%813 W · 1,391 L+39.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Janice Tjen22c7,103$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.112,52138.4%969 W · 1,552 L+93.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddfc…bd59backed Emma Navarro75c6,667$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.674060%24 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x979f…4032backed Emma Navarro74c6,666$4,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.0510162.4%63 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x780a…84f0backed Emma Navarro76c6,605$5,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.153366.7%22 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda39…c640backed Janice Tjen24c5,910$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.523836.8%14 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Janice Tjen8c5,676$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47030225.8%78 W · 224 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1af…c4d1backed Janice Tjen22c3,823$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.068045%36 W · 44 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+63.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Janice Tjen25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75068935%241 W · 448 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Janice Tjen24c2,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60027154.2%147 W · 124 L+20.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Janice Tjen23c2,376$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.5242841.6%178 W · 250 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a89…df4bbacked Janice Tjen25c2,200$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9814657.5%84 W · 62 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Emma Navarro77c2,149$1,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.5991755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x790e…b82dbacked Janice Tjen23c2,096$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.081546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab4e…c4a0backed Janice Tjen16c1,861$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010339.8%41 W · 62 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Emma Navarro75c1,832$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.1176546.8%358 W · 407 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Janice Tjen22c1,591$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.1136244.8%162 W · 200 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Janice Tjen25c1,529$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.3753843.5%234 W · 304 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Janice Tjen25c1,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37538038.2%145 W · 235 L+15.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Janice Tjen22c1,478$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.1634242.4%145 W · 197 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Emma Navarro79c1,417$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.159,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3957…35f0backed Emma Navarro77c1,350$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.3917572%126 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Emma Navarro74c1,249$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.821,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Janice Tjen14c1,200$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.4530827.6%85 W · 223 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Janice Tjen2c1,198$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.571,2078%96 W · 1,111 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Janice Tjen23c1,063$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.4543943.7%192 W · 247 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c95…8a0bbacked Emma Navarro80c1,039$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.9910655.7%59 W · 47 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Janice Tjen22c1,024$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.278154.3%44 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Janice Tjen25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,51537.7%571 W · 944 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Janice Tjen15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030857.1%176 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Janice Tjen25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25085634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Janice Tjen25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Janice Tjen20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022344.8%100 W · 123 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Janice Tjen26c999.84$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9638144.6%170 W · 211 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Janice Tjen26c999.54$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.8857842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Janice Tjen24c939.56$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.4978536.1%283 W · 502 L+36.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Janice Tjen23c862.31$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7931936.4%116 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Janice Tjen21c851$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.7156927.2%155 W · 414 L+22.8wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Janice Tjen21c800.85$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.031,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Janice Tjen22c800.01$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1761,10252.2%575 W · 527 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Janice Tjen23c720$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.862,27542.7%972 W · 1,303 L+33.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Janice Tjen12c698.73$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8985624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Janice Tjen23c653$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1981047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91e7…bbf0backed Janice Tjen22c650$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Janice Tjen22c600$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13269244.4%307 W · 385 L+29.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked Janice Tjen25c599.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15052644.3%233 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Janice Tjen23c587.58$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.921,42555.1%785 W · 640 L+23.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Janice Tjen22c553.66$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.454,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Janice Tjen18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9027132.1%87 W · 184 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Janice Tjen27c499.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13511133.3%37 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Janice Tjen23c499.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.249,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Janice Tjen24c466.67$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11220942.6%89 W · 120 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Janice Tjen22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10049942.3%211 W · 288 L+11.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Emma Navarro74c449.18$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.791,18762.8%746 W · 441 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Janice Tjen24c410.33$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.481,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Emma Navarro74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4114456.3%81 W · 63 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Janice Tjen24c400.02$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,16144.3%514 W · 647 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Janice Tjen17c399.16$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.771,82446.5%849 W · 975 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Janice Tjen24c362.17$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.382,88739.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Emma Navarro80c312.47$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.732,09944.5%935 W · 1,164 L-51.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Janice Tjen24c311$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6441850%209 W · 209 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abb…31a7backed Janice Tjen10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Janice Tjen26c296.07$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.987,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Janice Tjen13c294.64$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.923349.6%32 W · 302 L-16.7wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c6e…542dbacked Emma Navarro75c284.46$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4619756.3%111 W · 86 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Janice Tjen23c282$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.863,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Janice Tjen22c277.2$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9827048.9%132 W · 138 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Janice Tjen26c264.88$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.871,37138.3%525 W · 846 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Emma Navarro75c263.16$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.791,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200d…5549backed Janice Tjen24c262.73$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7730%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed Janice Tjen25c256$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6428738.3%110 W · 177 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Janice Tjen25c236.1$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.195,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Janice Tjen26c230.76$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6029063.8%185 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Janice Tjen24c225.57$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1423658.1%137 W · 99 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74e4…72b4backed Janice Tjen17c224.48$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.554515.6%7 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-52.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Janice Tjen15c217.74$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.853,79854.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L+111.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Janice Tjen23c200$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c5…720fbacked Emma Navarro74c189.19$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.194261.9%26 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Janice Tjen11c186.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.022,52836.2%914 W · 1,614 L-26.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Emma Navarro76c184.62$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6286470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Janice Tjen24c183.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441,78548.7%869 W · 916 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Emma Navarro78c179.09$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.485057.5%489 W · 361 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Janice Tjen21c175.07$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.522,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed Emma Navarro74c174.39$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3436964.2%237 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b85…b31bbacked Janice Tjen24c165.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011541.7%48 W · 67 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Emma Navarro77c165.06$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5225659%151 W · 105 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22c7…d814backed Emma Navarro74c162.16$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1640554.1%219 W · 186 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Janice Tjen16c158.84$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.962,83947.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cf0…4972backed Emma Navarro73c145$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.155048%24 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7708…42cbbacked Janice Tjen23c141.93$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.266628.8%19 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Janice Tjen25c138$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.57,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e15…5770backed Emma Navarro74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.142157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.