Will Noah Okafor score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60f6045fbb80203e013c7435c5a29c5a61af3a3be94c630079ac986c3f5a9d25

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,118
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,077

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,118 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No	50c	261.78$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.36	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked No	68c	193.76$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.53	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	27c	156$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.7	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73ed…310ebacked Yes	33c	152.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed Yes	44c	120$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.8	144	36.1%52 W · 92 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	43c	112.22$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.62	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed No	68c	91$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.12	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes	30c	87.77$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.7	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd11a…5ffdbacked No	43c	55$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.56	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+3.7wins	+0.21per pick	52cpaid	+47.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No	59c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.5	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	31c	42$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.81	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Yes	54c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	80	43.8%35 W · 45 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked No	68c	33$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.56	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x612a…bde5backed Yes	54c	26.78$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.46	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc8a…7d9cbacked No	64c	23.44$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.44	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	58c	21$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.18	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Noah Okafor score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event