Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb439b0713caddfd8d76608553b90f1337f8bde77dfa8aac554c8f9a96a6e5d6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 49c | 6,578$3,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374.62 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 17c | 5,548$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,580.99 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 4,974$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.88 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 46c | 4,461$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.06 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 18c | 3,760$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,101.19 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…17eabacked No | 31c | 3,269$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.59 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 39c | 3,213$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.39 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed No | 39c | 2,155$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.47 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed No | 2c | 1,833$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 6c | 1,800$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.23 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 68c | 1,780$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.97 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 71c | 1,724$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 59c | 1,653$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.97 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 60c | 1,618$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.86 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…7e90backed No | 36c | 1,527$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 52c | 1,320$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.07 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 60c | 1,317$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.05 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 14c | 977.44$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.6 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Yes | 61c | 970$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.15 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 4c | 916.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked No | 18c | 627.84$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.43 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 58c | 596.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.51 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 9c | 560.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 44c | 504.42$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.51 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 58c | 498.19$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.27 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 14c | 467$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.44 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 14c | 432.68$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.86 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Yes | 17c | 412.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.99 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 29c | 262.67$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.65 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 14c | 256$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.16 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 48c | 252.7$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.28 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 66c | 248.66$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.66 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 38c | 247.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b0…5294backed Yes | 65c | 228.08$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 15c | 221.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.26 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 60c | 220.62$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.25 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 41c | 216.84$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 14c | 189.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.65 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 14c | 175.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.08 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Yes | 17c | 166$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.78 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 15c | 140$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 15c | 139.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.52 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed Yes | 19c | 125$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…31b3backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 67c | 124.68$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed No | 69c | 123.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 65c | 121$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 38c | 119.29$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 53c | 100.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e22…d10abacked No | 17c | 97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 18c | 96.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 13c | 96.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.51 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 68c | 81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…f431backed No | 39c | 78.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 25c | 74.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…d1a7backed Yes | 77c | 67.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9972…5df3backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.87per pick | 14cpaid | +667%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 60c | 61.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +9.4wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 34c | 61.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked No | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Yes | 21c | 49.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…615ebacked Yes | 73c | 38.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 37c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed No | 64c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 56c | 27.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-07-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.