Asian League · resolved market
Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd102af9fa90222cabfabd38d41eef32d1e1d2ffd4dd7a6e357bf85410e994480
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 49c | 9,614$4,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,903.29 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 4,830$3,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.79 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 40c | 3,406$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.58 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 51c | 835.11$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.91 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 49c | 805.7$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.06 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced4…5055backed Over | 10c | 739.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 72c | 690.71$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.36 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 48c | 599.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…1444backed Under | 50c | 261.08$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.58 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Over | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed Over | 51c | 186.86$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…188abacked Under | 65c | 127.77$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +97%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 65c | 122$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 51c | 111.2$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Under | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Under | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…aac8backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 97.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 22c | 90.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 48c | 84.07$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 75c | 78.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 63c | 71.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 51c | 71.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…5023backed Under | 48c | 70.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked Under | 57c | 68.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Under | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Under | 48c | 56.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 56.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 48.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 78c | 44.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 68c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Over | 50c | 36.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…b0c4backed Over | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 26.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 61c | 20.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea2…ff5dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: Al Fayha Saudi Club O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 0.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Al Fayha Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Taawoun Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fayha Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.