Asian League · resolved market
Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45f1467fe1a9c7bf328dcf0dcb8178bb04c06190baac8db5311ccdea1be5157d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x62f0…0171backed Over | 77c | 4,938$3,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,802.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 2,169$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.05 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 45c | 2,100$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.06 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 23c | 1,519$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.7 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 23c | 1,086$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.22 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 40c | 608.72$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.69 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 24c | 418$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.17 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 6c | 214.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45bb…4927backed Over | 48c | 206.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 64c | 136.5$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7aa…2b84backed Over | 77c | 109.08$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Under | 57c | 104$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 45c | 99.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 47c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Under | 53c | 40.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…121cbacked Under | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d39…ba51backed Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e8…2f67backed Over | 69c | 36.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 53c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Under | 56c | 25.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 73c | 20.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 59c | 19.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 72c | 19.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: Al Fayha Saudi Club O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 0.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Al Fayha Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Taawoun Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fayha Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.