Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5df8bbf448ad51f74c7d37596b8e1fc3db778303ec49d2ddb69a63a1ca7019bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Al Fayha Saudi Clubof Al Taawoun Saudi Club, Al Fayha Saudi Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Al Fayha Saudi Club | 69c | 1,828$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.45 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 29c | 999.41$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.83 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 31c | 977.16$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.14 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Al Fayha Saudi Club | 71c | 276.38$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.15 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Al Fayha Saudi Club | 72c | 140.01$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 63 | 82.5%52 W · 11 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Al Fayha Saudi Club | 68c | 130$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 28c | 117.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 31c | 95.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 33c | 84.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Al Fayha Saudi Club | 67c | 79.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Al Fayha Saudi Club | 70c | 50.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…da58backed Al Fayha Saudi Club | 70c | 44.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Al Fayha Saudi Club | 70c | 35.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Al Fayha Saudi Club | 68c | 32.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Al Fayha Saudi Club | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Al Fayha Saudi Club | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Al Fayha Saudi Club | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Al Fayha Saudi Club | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Al Fayha Saudi Club | 73c | 17.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Al Fayha Saudi Club | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-1.5)this page
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: Al Fayha Saudi Club O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 0.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Al Fayha Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Taawoun Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.