Asian League · resolved market
Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f61bb3bec5c1547f310c4b797dc2e4c77c4b7749d0fc95bde072267ce6cd8ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 4,898$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.76 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 35c | 4,284$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.01 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 3,332$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.63 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 67c | 2,803$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.45 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over | 1c | 2,758$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +106%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 42c | 1,874$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.29 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13f…c817backed Under | 70c | 1,631$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 42c | 1,571$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…6674backed Over | 63c | 673.11$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.06 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 61c | 655.8$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.14 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 55c | 650$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Over | 3c | 648$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…c640backed Over | 79c | 454.95$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 35c | 417.25$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.21 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 23c | 300$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 42c | 193.44$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.44 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3dd…0fe4backed Over | 34c | 148$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 20c | 138.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…d4a0backed Over | 75c | 120$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +121%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…097ebacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 44c | 85.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…188abacked Under | 40c | 82.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +97%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc604…9da5backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 43c | 72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Over | 50c | 57.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 64c | 57.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f50…fbf2backed Under | 67c | 22.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…54ffbacked Under | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -8.5wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 73c | 14.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 0.5this page
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: Al Fayha Saudi Club O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Al Fayha Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Taawoun Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fayha Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.