TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$182,382
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$209,769

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,382 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over56c17,932$10,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,890.8310943.1%47 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under52c13,975$7,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,232.0356439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over55c12,118$6,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,423.733268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under43c11,542$4,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,960.012634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under50c8,672$4,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,321.1798833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c8,297$3,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,797.731,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Over44c7,883$3,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,414.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over53c7,549$3,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,563.1682844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over59c7,242$4,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,973.6619133%63 W · 128 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c5,910$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,969.784,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c5,440$2,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,618.053,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76011054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under53c3,946$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,091.3461557.7%355 W · 260 L+41.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under43c3,917$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,668.839561.1%58 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over53c3,503$1,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.233342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under44c2,845$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.9468050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over58c2,586$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.2117530.9%54 W · 121 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb89…82aabacked Over65c2,555$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-48.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9917447.1%82 W · 92 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under42c2,101$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.682,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Under43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.972147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Over53c1,890$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+71.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003650%18 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ea…b845backed Over61c1,800$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Over59c1,704$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.591250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5e7…d292backed Over60c1,654$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.633100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under29c1,534$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.71735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick28cpaid-31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under42c1,523$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.8375051.3%385 W · 365 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Under53c1,506$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under44c1,435$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.4613744.5%61 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under41c1,414$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.4183640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under42c1,357$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.3169350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c1,323$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.171,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under44c1,200$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52810558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over53c1,162$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.872450%12 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over25c1,100$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.992714.8%4 W · 23 L-6.5wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-61.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under43c1,024$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.3212061.7%74 W · 46 L+12.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+29.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over53c1,000$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.662065%13 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44017759.3%105 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+72.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over59c979.96$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.139338.9%153 W · 240 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72f2…1de0backed Over58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb0…5390backed Over51c789.75$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.981145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over54c750$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3453354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under10c719.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under40c700$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.955554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over72c621.88$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1746740.3%27 W · 40 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29bf…e7e0backed Over52c588.46$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.461040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under44c585$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.411849.2%58 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under32c584.51$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.1513151.1%67 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Over57c575.52$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.061145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed Under11c550.3$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.47742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under39c528.46$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052035%7 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under57c522.9$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b18…577ebacked Under16c522.64$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over26c500.73$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.547440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over57c485.4$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.5443439.6%172 W · 262 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Under42c485.36$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.85837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.872766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x308b…b223backed Over63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.193452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x26a4…5a9cbacked Under48c458.33$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed01…83a8backed Under11c458.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-57.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Over56c456.65$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.653751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over44c450$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2524235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over72c441.71$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.839947.5%47 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Over58c399.99$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16816142.2%68 W · 93 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Over56c390.64$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.883100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Under42c386.21$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.971442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over57c384$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.9812050%60 W · 60 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under66c380.87$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.12837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under43c377.25$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.221747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe398…4ce5backed Under68c353.29$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.552958.6%17 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick73cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2542…7821backed Over58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under44c305.95$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.463757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under44c276$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4414425.7%37 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under39c256.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x131c…6816backed Under48c243$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.64425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-67.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under38c242.84$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3913243.2%57 W · 75 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over46c237.07$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2714942.3%63 W · 86 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under43c234.03$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.431,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe748…c645backed Over78c227.28$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Under44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x652b…e9c9backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under53c203.53$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8710844.4%48 W · 60 L-9.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under38c195.25$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7421831.7%69 W · 149 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9152…abfbbacked Under71c192.53$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.41728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick65cpaid-55.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over48c189.09$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9459555.5%330 W · 265 L+31.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003964.1%25 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+24.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcc88…25dabacked Over26c184.62$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.62540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick18cpaid+94.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a00…9ac7backed Over57c182.44$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e17…2412backed Over58c182.08$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.264100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.449564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over66c175.21$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3721139.8%84 W · 127 L-15.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Under59c169$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.711450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8366…54ffbacked Over59c168.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.08650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked Under53c163$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.39837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-50.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under42c161.18$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.67837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Under77c158.77$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.253754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.