TailMyPicks
Market

La Liga · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,185
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,659

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,185 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0f00…73cebacked Yes38c7,834$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,833.97540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c4,261$2,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,776.554,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed No1c3,666$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.666839.7%27 W · 41 L+12.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+118.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c3,236$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.693,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,01010736.4%39 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No62c2,697$1,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.351,52938.5%588 W · 941 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No42c2,263$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.361,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Yes68c2,237$1,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.296142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No31c2,140$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.862258%361 W · 261 L+44.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd36…6674backed Yes56c1,578$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-45.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e63…ed53backed Yes51c1,364$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes59c1,119$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.4414150.4%71 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes58c656.91$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.2244840.4%181 W · 267 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No40c591.5$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.670050.6%354 W · 346 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No40c510.67$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.2775751%386 W · 371 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No47c508.55$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.361,01733.4%340 W · 677 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No36c407.39$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5541239.1%161 W · 251 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a46…c6a0backed Yes61c323.91$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.911070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Yes51c320$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.81844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Yes62c316$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.82728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-53.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No41c308.11$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.3865356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No40c303.62$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.942,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes55c302.78$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.2512643.7%55 W · 71 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14161032.3%197 W · 413 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No42c293.48$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2613059.2%77 W · 53 L+11.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No64c287.36$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.5625033.6%84 W · 166 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No45c262.93$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.3246040.9%188 W · 272 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes61c196.72$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.722955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5711…fbf5backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.498341%34 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.676962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1425…6e0cbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+80.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No61c140.63$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7884939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No53c137.9$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7234044.4%151 W · 189 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes57c126.28$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1620533.7%69 W · 136 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No60c115$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698672.1%62 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb371…472abacked Yes59c106.61$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.611070%7 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick39cpaid+180%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No68c103.13$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8827958.8%164 W · 115 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5019237.5%72 W · 120 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No47c93.41$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8921439.7%85 W · 129 L-15.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe5e7…973ebacked Yes59c92.76$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.03250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2068backed Yes53c91$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7713050.8%66 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No62c88.21$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0711942.9%51 W · 68 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Yes59c85.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.99050%45 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes54c82.23$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8916541.2%68 W · 97 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed No40c79.02$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327142.3%30 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No61c72.32$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.324334.9%15 W · 28 L-7.3wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-37.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes57c70.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.28955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b98…aa35backed No48c69.1$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.026561.5%40 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No31c63.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.442445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked No41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253476.5%26 W · 8 L+7.9wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+44.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No42c55.37$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.338444%37 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes51c54.72$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8111046.4%51 W · 59 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Yes57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.63475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No41c50.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.499252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd226…35acbacked Yes56c50.29$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ccf…99ecbacked Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes46c49.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2710121.8%22 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae19…9d13backed Yes33c49.96$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.481838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.186437.5%24 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes44c49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4459855.5%332 W · 266 L+32.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No56c49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4420743%89 W · 118 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd18a…3ae9backed No44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No42c45.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.021,57751.4%811 W · 766 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce74…e6ecbacked Yes57c42.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.422853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes29c40$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5644524.3%108 W · 337 L-49.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed No42c37.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.097660.5%46 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes60c37$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.86952.2%36 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbecf…0f51backed Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361586.7%13 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick65cpaid+34.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37d6…664fbacked Yes56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.713100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+113.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a89…24b1backed Yes60c35.32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.13977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes51c34.57$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.858239%32 W · 50 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa562…666abacked Yes60c32.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6670…16e1backed Yes44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c86…a7a3backed No72c27.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-41.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Yes41c26.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.833228.1%9 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Yes57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.322944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcac7…37d8backed Yes56c26.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.53475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed No42c26.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.93948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5970…11f2backed Yes59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Yes55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913157.3%75 W · 56 L+11.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xced8…01fdbacked Yes61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No68c19.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4422557.3%129 W · 96 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed No67c19.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.834461.4%27 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.