TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Club Atlético de Madridof Villarreal CF, Club Atlético de Madrid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,378
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,753

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,378 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Club Atlético de Madrid77c3,012$2,320 inWon+$691.464,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Villarreal CF7c1,309$87 inLost-$86.5856439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Club Atlético de Madrid77c1,304$1,004 inWon+$299.8422859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Villarreal CF6c1,285$77 inLost-$77.182844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Villarreal CF9c1,101$96 inLost-$95.81,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Villarreal CF8c625$50 inLost-$506126.2%16 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Villarreal CF7c390$27 inLost-$27.311849.2%58 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x018e…5c3dbacked Villarreal CF8c287.5$23 inLost-$23616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-74.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Club Atlético de Madrid76c200$153 inWon+$47.114360.5%26 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Villarreal CF21c100$21 inLost-$215554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Villarreal CF22c62$14 inLost-$13.643638.9%14 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Club Atlético de Madrid78c62$48 inWon+$13.6415260.5%92 W · 60 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Club Atlético de Madrid77c42.64$33 inWon+$9.813450%17 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf94c…4484backed Club Atlético de Madrid79c30$24 inWon+$6.456261.3%38 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Club Atlético de Madrid79c21.97$17 inWon+$4.6122357%127 W · 96 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Club Atlético de Madrid78c20.2$16 inWon+$4.4659555.5%330 W · 265 L+31.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19d0…2101backed Club Atlético de Madrid79c14.09$11 inWon+$2.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.