TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,403
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,436

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,403 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcb98…b473backed Over75c9,490$7,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,372.44966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under25c8,831$2,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,164.384,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under35c7,610$2,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,64699933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e7…91a2backed Under1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under17c2,019$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.57540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-40.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Under44c1,588$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.832227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over73c1,558$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.4383444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over68c1,554$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.63,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c99…8b23backed Over70c1,435$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.762080%16 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under26c1,074$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.6457139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Over41c822.22$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.2220843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over71c751.88$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.8723232.8%76 W · 156 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under3c738$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1420142.8%86 W · 115 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12526545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under20c589.25$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8512546.4%58 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1953237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Over44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+66.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c500$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26242158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under29c469.61$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.1933544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Over76c434.03$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.482065%13 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under33c432.76$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8141751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f5b…2501backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over49c387.48$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.6211049.1%54 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x308b…b223backed Over44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.913652.8%19 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfd1…2647backed Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under12c236.47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.340239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45bb…4927backed Over47c210.26$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.441330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over56c200$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Under55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Over78c199.95$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.99875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Over54c199$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.821450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under20c195.84$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.412,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Under47c194.06$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.21450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+79.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25d1…173bbacked Over53c192.45$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.45825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-49.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over40c190$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1142045%9 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under28c187.61$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6211251.8%58 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under19c187$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5369750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under54c185.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under26c169.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5511154.1%60 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under25c168.09$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7427758.5%162 W · 115 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Over78c166.45$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.621266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under27c144$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4115660.9%95 W · 61 L+10.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over67c135.07$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1510350.5%52 W · 51 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over55c119.77$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.951,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over80c110.55$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.117841%32 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under23c105.3$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2214525.5%37 W · 108 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over77c103.9$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.97850%39 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over66c92.17$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.341,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under41c91.46$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.511542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under20c86.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.368450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0a6…2a95backed Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under51c78.04$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.811342.5%48 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under23c74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6510445.2%47 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71e8…2f67backed Over68c73.51$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.52580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under50c73.41$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.392138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over70c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.819247.4%91 W · 101 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over41c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.31442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over74c66.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0859655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over67c65.86$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.733268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb89…82aabacked Under29c65.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-48.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over61c65$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.557263.9%46 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Over80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.53278.1%25 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over66c54.95$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9244424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Over68c54.01$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.481668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over76c52.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.937842.3%33 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9991…b2cebacked Under41c48.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.02633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over80c48.4$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.68850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+171.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under26c47.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4360832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f20…3a2abacked Over67c47.09$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Over40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over53c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.86728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-46.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf98…0924backed Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over63c37$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6915540.6%63 W · 92 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over49c35.75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2813642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa54e…574fbacked Under32c32.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec1e…0d9cbacked Over72c32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.96333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-53.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153652.8%19 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a96…b71dbacked Over68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d43…b695backed Over80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed Over76c23.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.781533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-38.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x853e…f16abacked Over64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.442045%9 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce74…e6ecbacked Over54c23.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.682853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over61c21.51$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.311957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69f6…4288backed Over80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.52592%23 W · 2 L+5.2wins+0.21per pick71cpaid+30.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.