TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Villarreal CFof Club Atlético de Madrid, Villarreal CF
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,007
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,982

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,007 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Club Atlético de Madrid25c8,020$1,978 inLost-$1,977.9757139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Club Atlético de Madrid22c6,510$1,413 inLost-$1,412.9683444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab65…4a03backed Villarreal CF69c4,026$2,793 inWon+$1,233.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Club Atlético de Madrid21c1,846$388 inLost-$387.5261657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Club Atlético de Madrid30c1,000$300 inLost-$30011822.9%27 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Club Atlético de Madrid30c814$244 inLost-$244.264457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Villarreal CF71c512$364 inWon+$148.4812460.5%75 W · 49 L+12.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Club Atlético de Madrid35c451.1$157 inLost-$156.8623232.8%76 W · 156 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f7…7656backed Villarreal CF74c405.8$300 inWon+$105.8580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Club Atlético de Madrid25c367.46$91 inLost-$90.8840239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Villarreal CF69c334.29$232 inWon+$102.33268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Club Atlético de Madrid40c297.43$118 inLost-$117.9618842%79 W · 109 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Club Atlético de Madrid27c237.63$64 inLost-$64.2428446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Club Atlético de Madrid38c174.11$66 inLost-$65.553447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Villarreal CF71c164.07$116 inWon+$47.941,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked Club Atlético de Madrid30c159.47$48 inLost-$47.843135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Club Atlético de Madrid27c157.92$43 inLost-$42.643,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Club Atlético de Madrid32c109.47$35 inLost-$35.0333544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7812…4bcdbacked Club Atlético de Madrid30c100$30 inLost-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Club Atlético de Madrid28c100$28 inLost-$2826641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Club Atlético de Madrid31c96.77$30 inLost-$3028342.8%121 W · 162 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Villarreal CF72c82.54$59 inWon+$23.117365.8%48 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Villarreal CF70c79.99$56 inWon+$24.229252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Villarreal CF73c74.31$54 inWon+$20.3827758.5%162 W · 115 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Villarreal CF70c67.76$47 inWon+$20.381,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Villarreal CF71c56.87$40 inWon+$16.4944039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbecf…0f51backed Villarreal CF70c56.74$40 inWon+$16.741384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick64cpaid+32.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77c9…f4dabacked Villarreal CF68c55.47$38 inWon+$17.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca75…05a6backed Club Atlético de Madrid35c50.54$18 inLost-$17.691136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Villarreal CF71c50$36 inWon+$14.51855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Villarreal CF69c45.47$31 inWon+$13.992065%13 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Club Atlético de Madrid30c39.41$12 inLost-$11.826645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Villarreal CF70c33$23 inWon+$9.91883.3%15 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.21per pick63cpaid+30.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Villarreal CF69c31.48$22 inWon+$9.7610759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Villarreal CF64c31.25$20 inWon+$11.2960832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Villarreal CF75c25.65$19 inWon+$6.494461.4%27 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Villarreal CF69c24$17 inWon+$7.4431751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecc5…6e99backed Villarreal CF77c16.23$12 inWon+$3.733666.7%24 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.