TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,291
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,687

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,291 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under77c1,477$1,143 inWon+$333.82,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over3c1,003$32 inLost-$32.222,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over16c565$90 inLost-$90.41,06342%446 W · 617 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65ee…3240backed Over36c555.56$200 inLost-$2002152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Over26c453.65$118 inLost-$117.956349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over35c285.71$100 inLost-$1006854.4%37 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over36c257.39$93 inLost-$92.7489245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under51c204.9$104 inWon+$100.49241.3%38 W · 54 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over21c204.71$44 inLost-$43.915,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under72c133.17$95 inWon+$37.9474739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb0…5390backed Under46c110$51 inWon+$59.41080%8 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+71.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Under60c110$66 inWon+$444060%24 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked Over37c96.59$36 inLost-$35.74944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Under65c91$59 inWon+$31.85966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+29.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Over50c88$44 inLost-$447349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3303…9895backed Under72c83.33$60 inWon+$23.33560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over26c80.47$21 inLost-$20.9215349.7%76 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over28c72.45$20 inLost-$20.241,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Under74c67.57$50 inWon+$17.576382.5%52 W · 11 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over29c58$17 inLost-$16.821,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb994…d4b7backed Under77c38.96$30 inWon+$8.96666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under64c31.25$20 inWon+$11.256454.7%35 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe707…e0cfbacked Under71c20$14 inWon+$5.82458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under72c16.78$12 inWon+$4.731,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee9c…c449backed Under65c16.4$11 inWon+$5.742962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.