Europa Conference League · resolved market
Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x319d17702ab7a22558981cf5b1096b822bfdaee9780bbd07cf72b8a477e9dc06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 1,029$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.38 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Yes | 18c | 999.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 74c | 466.2$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.76 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…08edbacked No | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 37c | 217.52$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.93 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Yes | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 44c | 137.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…017dbacked No | 57c | 118.78$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…f767backed Yes | 43c | 117.78$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 63c | 117.44$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 48c | 111.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 51c | 93.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 44c | 86.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked No | 72c | 67.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 53c | 60.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 59c | 51.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…3319backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 53cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 56c | 39.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 45c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 45c | 36.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 75c | 23.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 77c | 17.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 0.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 2.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 3.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 5.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: SK Iberia 1999 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: SK Iberia 1999 O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-1.5)Jagiellonia Białystok won
- Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-2.5)Jagiellonia Białystok won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.