Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2202b7bf9bfe28474dcfeee2348c8aead61a090d6c3651f8e75aa0fd9ee2c107
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jagiellonia Białystokof Jagiellonia Białystok, SK Iberia 1999
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 27c | 1,452$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.8 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SK Iberia 1999 | 76c | 1,273$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.95 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 38c | 1,214$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.71 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed SK Iberia 1999 | 17c | 594.44$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.08 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked SK Iberia 1999 | 73c | 198.25$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.42 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 26c | 183.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.51 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed SK Iberia 1999 | 74c | 112$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed SK Iberia 1999 | 75c | 104.96$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Jagiellonia Białystok | 23c | 95.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed SK Iberia 1999 | 56c | 84.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed SK Iberia 1999 | 72c | 75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Jagiellonia Białystok | 24c | 74.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked SK Iberia 1999 | 39c | 64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed SK Iberia 1999 | 72c | 58.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jagiellonia Białystok | 29c | 57.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed SK Iberia 1999 | 74c | 47.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 62c | 46.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SK Iberia 1999 | 71c | 44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed SK Iberia 1999 | 73c | 39.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Jagiellonia Białystok | 61c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked SK Iberia 1999 | 78c | 36.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…b2cebacked Jagiellonia Białystok | 61c | 32.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed SK Iberia 1999 | 74c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed SK Iberia 1999 | 75c | 21.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed SK Iberia 1999 | 77c | 21.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed SK Iberia 1999 | 74c | 20.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Jagiellonia Białystok | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…973cbacked SK Iberia 1999 | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked SK Iberia 1999 | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed SK Iberia 1999 | 74c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-2.5)this page
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 0.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 2.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 3.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 5.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: SK Iberia 1999 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: SK Iberia 1999 O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-1.5)Jagiellonia Białystok won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.