Europa Conference League · resolved market
Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe53cfb20d190ada69e4f5a1d6c4709fb1b88a9433085e7bdb310d3a6483860c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 36c | 3,505$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.44 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 52c | 2,481$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.55 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 36c | 1,930$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.06 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 65c | 1,857$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.48 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 64c | 1,619$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.38 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 2c | 1,277$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Over | 23c | 1,265$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.29 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 63c | 994.52$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.59 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 59c | 876.45$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.67 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Under | 74c | 811.5$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…54ffbacked Over | 57c | 613.93$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.94 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 53c | 500$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.85 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 452.27$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.08 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 28c | 444$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.68 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 31c | 435.77$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.68 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 36c | 409.62$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.41 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Under | 77c | 400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 53c | 381.45$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.17 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 47c | 306.25$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 63c | 306.21$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.91 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 32c | 187.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.91 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Under | 58c | 169.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under | 68c | 147.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 49c | 122.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 38c | 111.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 57c | 111$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Under | 67c | 101.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 43c | 91.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 69c | 91.39$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 86.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed Under | 44c | 72.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over | 74c | 66.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 58c | 64.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…3546backed Over | 34c | 59.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 34c | 56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 56c | 54.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 42c | 54.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 66c | 48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Over | 34c | 44.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 33c | 33.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 57c | 33.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Over | 64c | 24.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 66c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 66c | 23.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 65c | 22.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 66c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 70c | 19.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 3.5this page
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 0.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 2.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 5.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: SK Iberia 1999 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: SK Iberia 1999 O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-1.5)Jagiellonia Białystok won
- Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-2.5)Jagiellonia Białystok won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.