Europa Conference League · resolved market
Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53466206d00199c9349ac51293abdfaf0c797a1c9a9e035304f3acf65a03a65a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Under | 71c | 8,134$5,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 18c | 6,323$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.6 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 75c | 6,066$4,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.56 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 26c | 3,674$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.68 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 27c | 2,912$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.66 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 1,790$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.47 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 29c | 1,239$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.17 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x123f…8d5fbacked Over | 13c | 751.31$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Over | 3c | 414.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -29%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 13c | 360.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 16c | 250.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Under | 77c | 229.86$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 23c | 157.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 29c | 145.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…5f0ebacked Under | 70c | 142.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…1517backed Under | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 75c | 133.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 17c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 16c | 79.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 387 | 44.4%172 W · 215 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 75c | 70.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 33c | 62.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 503 | 54.7%275 W · 228 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 20c | 59.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 70c | 57.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 42 | 78.6%33 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc628…c3f0backed Under | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Over | 38c | 40.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 68c | 39.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 78c | 31.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 69c | 31.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 77c | 30.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…1cb2backed Under | 68c | 17.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 55cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 4.5this page
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 0.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 2.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 3.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 5.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: SK Iberia 1999 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: SK Iberia 1999 O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-1.5)Jagiellonia Białystok won
- Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-2.5)Jagiellonia Białystok won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.