Europa Conference League · resolved market
Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65c4f5ca0557a135c33f319dcc57a937dca264b1d3f2d825dd2f26497ad773ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 19c | 4,126$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.59 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 52c | 2,474$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.36 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 20c | 2,252$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.76 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Under | 24c | 2,083$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69c…890ebacked Over | 49c | 1,308$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Over | 79c | 1,189$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.63 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 58c | 1,138$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.8 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 59c | 1,100$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.81 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 76c | 1,100$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.97 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 42c | 1,040$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 67c | 951.27$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.18 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…54ffbacked Over | 80c | 793.92$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.05 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over | 78c | 750.11$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.17 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 50c | 668.47$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.57 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 7c | 627.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +305.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 51c | 593.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Over | 77c | 578.14$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.87 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 57c | 493$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.99 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 43c | 375$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.25 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed Under | 23c | 296.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 61c | 287.77$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 68c | 276.72$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 47c | 264.21$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.03 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…0178backed Under | 20c | 246.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 65c | 238.09$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.63 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 65c | 224.03$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.39 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 63c | 208.54$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 57c | 204.23$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.82 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 61c | 199.9$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.34 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Over | 78c | 184.61$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Over | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 59c | 146$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 43c | 145.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 19c | 144.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd010…2ee6backed Under | 45c | 131.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 128.09$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 55c | 127.53$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…afc1backed Over | 57c | 123.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 57c | 106.82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d12ebacked Over | 78c | 103.22$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Under | 44c | 78.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 43c | 76.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 21c | 64.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 80c | 59.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 46c | 52.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 50.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 39c | 44.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Over | 67c | 44.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 39c | 38.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 37c | 38.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Over | 79c | 37.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 60c | 35.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28b…3683backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 39c | 34.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 56c | 32.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 43c | 30.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…6648backed Over | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 44c | 25.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 44c | 25.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Under | 51c | 23.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xccab…46f9backed Over | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +11.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf22…8c56backed Over | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 69c | 15.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 2.5this page
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 0.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 3.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 5.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: SK Iberia 1999 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: SK Iberia 1999 O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-1.5)Jagiellonia Białystok won
- Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-2.5)Jagiellonia Białystok won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.