Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x401e9af574a43e55f1cf7727071a1aa807386adfe14c29e24ea0fbaf7712f721
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jagiellonia Białystokof Jagiellonia Białystok, SK Iberia 1999
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Jagiellonia Białystok | 52c | 28,351$14,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,630.21 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 52c | 9,056$4,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,367.97 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed SK Iberia 1999 | 48c | 7,669$3,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,681.11 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…21b9backed SK Iberia 1999 | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked SK Iberia 1999 | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.98 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a95…3a16backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 66c | 3,053$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked SK Iberia 1999 | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x583e…a2a6backed SK Iberia 1999 | 48c | 2,706$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed SK Iberia 1999 | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 47c | 2,442$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.73 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…0d85backed SK Iberia 1999 | 48c | 2,332$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed SK Iberia 1999 | 45c | 2,067$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.51 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed SK Iberia 1999 | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 51c | 1,942$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.93 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 50c | 1,895$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.6 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed SK Iberia 1999 | 48c | 1,606$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed SK Iberia 1999 | 50c | 1,406$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.38 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked SK Iberia 1999 | 57c | 1,199$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.43 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SK Iberia 1999 | 40c | 1,059$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.8 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed SK Iberia 1999 | 48c | 918$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.66 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed SK Iberia 1999 | 49c | 787$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.12 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed SK Iberia 1999 | 48c | 664.99$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.92 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked SK Iberia 1999 | 49c | 646.64$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.62 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked SK Iberia 1999 | 48c | 628$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.44 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed SK Iberia 1999 | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed SK Iberia 1999 | 48c | 555$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked SK Iberia 1999 | 52c | 431$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.12 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Jagiellonia Białystok | 53c | 415.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.09 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1538…8676backed SK Iberia 1999 | 48c | 398.06$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked SK Iberia 1999 | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Jagiellonia Białystok | 52c | 267.73$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.72 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed SK Iberia 1999 | 47c | 266.95$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.47 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked SK Iberia 1999 | 53c | 263$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.39 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked SK Iberia 1999 | 48c | 233.92$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.31 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…a899backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…0409backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd423…99e9backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 48c | 208.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed SK Iberia 1999 | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked SK Iberia 1999 | 51c | 134.23$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked SK Iberia 1999 | 26c | 116.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Jagiellonia Białystok | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 52c | 96.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked SK Iberia 1999 | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed SK Iberia 1999 | 48c | 91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Jagiellonia Białystok | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed SK Iberia 1999 | 50c | 85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed SK Iberia 1999 | 53c | 79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed SK Iberia 1999 | 48c | 68.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SK Iberia 1999 | 25c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed SK Iberia 1999 | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -4.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed SK Iberia 1999 | 37c | 47.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Jagiellonia Białystok | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 47c | 46.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…4b88backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 76c | 45.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed SK Iberia 1999 | 55c | 45.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed SK Iberia 1999 | 41c | 44.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Jagiellonia Białystok | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed SK Iberia 1999 | 54c | 39.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed SK Iberia 1999 | 52c | 38.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SK Iberia 1999 | 32c | 38.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked SK Iberia 1999 | 52c | 36.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed SK Iberia 1999 | 53c | 32.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed SK Iberia 1999 | 39c | 31.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed SK Iberia 1999 | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed SK Iberia 1999 | 61c | 26.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed SK Iberia 1999 | 52c | 24.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-1.5)this page
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 0.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 2.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 3.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 5.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: SK Iberia 1999 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: SK Iberia 1999 O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-2.5)Jagiellonia Białystok won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.