Europa Conference League · resolved market
Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8af7a54622444049bc0e16e09ab2144a303eb39b6310cbb4a86f7d9cdc0f3c41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 29c | 4,735$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.16 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 56c | 2,707$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.66 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 16c | 1,895$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.89 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 47c | 1,516$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.51 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Under | 39c | 1,322$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 44c | 1,283$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.83 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 39c | 1,273$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.57 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 1,159$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.6 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Under | 11c | 1,124$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.04 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Over | 66c | 1,105$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.18 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed Over | 53c | 979.08$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.17 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…54ffbacked Over | 62c | 967.99$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.83 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 50c | 775.2$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.97 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 47c | 633.45$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.97 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Over | 75c | 554.84$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 9c | 249.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d12ebacked Under | 10c | 236.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 13c | 229.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 11c | 220.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 21c | 201.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 32c | 148.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Under | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.9wins | +0.35per pick | 43cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 146.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 53c | 144.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 56c | 104.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 67c | 63.83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf61…1e34backed Over | 64c | 59.84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +48%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 72c | 51.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbd…2703backed Under | 28c | 51.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 26c | 46.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…0178backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 48c | 29.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 0.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 2.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 3.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 5.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: SK Iberia 1999 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: SK Iberia 1999 O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-1.5)Jagiellonia Białystok won
- Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-2.5)Jagiellonia Białystok won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.