Asian League · resolved market
NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dcc77f438b94edef65557b989fbaca597e1d73587af1e450f982fc3d7e249e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 5,175$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.05 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 42c | 4,546$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.2 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 2,507$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.12 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 52c | 2,276$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.27 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Over | 45c | 986.66$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 57c | 883.04$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.45 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 4c | 850$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 38c | 642.22$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.18 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 51c | 322.16$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.3 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 53c | 318.22$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.68 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 47c | 159.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 424 | 25.9%110 W · 314 L | -32.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86ba…2cf3backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 64c | 148.8$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 64c | 138.97$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.94 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 55c | 87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…c7b6backed Under | 57c | 78.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 54c | 73.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 313 | 59.7%187 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…188abacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 55c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 66c | 41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 36c | 39.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Over | 42c | 27.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Over | 63c | 25.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 51c | 25.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 66c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…6a3abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 62c | 16.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb111…393ebacked Over | 72c | 16.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 66c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 0.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)NEOM SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.