Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaeab74795cc08a9c3b0381786cbe26074ab115a4f78ea578cb7179960a7c9b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NEOM SCof Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club, NEOM SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 21c | 3,652$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.01 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NEOM SC | 79c | 2,726$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.46 | 273 | 37%101 W · 172 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 28c | 2,650$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.8 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NEOM SC | 71c | 2,519$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.36 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NEOM SC | 79c | 748.08$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.1 | 226 | 53.5%121 W · 105 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed NEOM SC | 79c | 64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f65…ec56backed NEOM SC | 78c | 62.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed NEOM SC | 76c | 59.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -9.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked NEOM SC | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed NEOM SC | 70c | 35.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 320 | 60%192 W · 128 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed NEOM SC | 70c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NEOM SC | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 450 | 52.2%235 W · 215 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…188abacked NEOM SC | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +97%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked NEOM SC | 79c | 13.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.79 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)this page
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 0.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.