Asian League · resolved market
NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2949d8c707caee4ec1c67089b42990884b706ab6dbb3077de057c54f70bc6df5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 42c | 1,288$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.95 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 1,107$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.11 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 24c | 1,009$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.27 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 17c | 804.49$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.59 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 64c | 648.44$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.44 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 403.78$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.27 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Under | 56c | 240.29$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.49 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 78c | 189.12$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Under | 67c | 164.18$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 70c | 127.51$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…1b3cbacked Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 40c | 90.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 47c | 80.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 58c | 78.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 41c | 69.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 25c | 61.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 80c | 51.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Under | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 58c | 39.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 65c | 23.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…6600backed Over | 47c | 22.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 0.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)NEOM SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.