Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6c77f5da51482cd8300c93ca39f8699928563b3a1f48bbbc46b650c82aa8cb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Clubof Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club, NEOM SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 43c | 3,944$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.15 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed NEOM SC | 58c | 3,192$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.77 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed NEOM SC | 57c | 2,715$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 40c | 1,465$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.15 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 46c | 1,166$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.71 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x487e…0d66backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 42c | 714.69$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +207%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed NEOM SC | 60c | 534.55$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.8 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 41c | 489.54$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.03 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 52c | 386.3$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.92 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed NEOM SC | 59c | 250.61$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.86 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked NEOM SC | 58c | 249.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.86 | 421 | 51.3%216 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed NEOM SC | 61c | 226.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.01 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed NEOM SC | 57c | 174.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf4…5324backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +195.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 54c | 74.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed NEOM SC | 59c | 72.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed NEOM SC | 38c | 68.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 62c | 68.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…2348backed NEOM SC | 57c | 66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed NEOM SC | 60c | 64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 44c | 59.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…e746backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +205.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed NEOM SC | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…4771backed NEOM SC | 51c | 46.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 44c | 41.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 44c | 24.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked NEOM SC | 59c | 19.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)this page
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 0.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)NEOM SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.