Asian League · resolved market
NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbf240a6835769dc5e70fffb6974b784b64a71a19ed3a195fcda6f27bce7ae86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb98…b473backed Yes | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 1,933$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.4 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 59c | 877$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.93 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 46c | 683.3$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.62 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 41c | 360.67$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.25 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Yes | 60c | 206.32$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.79 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 60c | 165.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 131.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.92 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Yes | 58c | 117.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 40c | 105.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes | 59c | 99.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…0171backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…09a6backed No | 41c | 58.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 40c | 53.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed No | 41c | 51.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 40c | 48.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 56c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 77c | 40.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 53c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 58c | 30.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Yes | 59c | 27.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 60c | 23.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…188abacked No | 53c | 20.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +97%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 0.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)NEOM SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.