TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,340
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,997

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,340 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e3e…f882backed Over68c6,634$4,511 inWon+$2,122.8974739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under32c6,292$2,014 inLost-$2,013.5412639.7%50 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under31c5,919$1,814 inLost-$1,814.235,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over74c911.48$678 inWon+$233.6222949.8%114 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under20c297.27$58 inLost-$58.3120638.8%80 W · 126 L-14.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over67c133.03$89 inWon+$43.632,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under28c125.8$36 inLost-$35.561,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over79c116.4$92 inWon+$24.5870842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under35c111.69$39 inLost-$38.6425155.8%140 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under34c104.2$36 inLost-$35.9437153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under32c78.77$25 inLost-$25.211,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under34c63.26$21 inLost-$21.331960.2%192 W · 127 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under32c54.29$17 inLost-$17.3713644.9%61 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under32c51$16 inLost-$16.321,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f7b…0769backed Over68c41.54$28 inWon+$13.29955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over75c40$30 inWon+$103100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bab…c45ebacked Over68c38.24$26 inWon+$12.244077.5%31 W · 9 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over62c31.61$20 inWon+$12.012,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under38c30$11 inLost-$11.4519354.4%105 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9891…8949backed Under37c29.53$11 inLost-$111637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x65ee…3240backed Over68c29.41$20 inWon+$9.412152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9545…d6f7backed Over69c28.99$20 inWon+$8.992676.9%20 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe707…e0cfbacked Over68c20$14 inWon+$6.42458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a5…3da0backed Over68c18.29$12 inWon+$5.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over68c15$10 inWon+$4.7556445.4%256 W · 308 L-25.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.