Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4279ada191ed4b07dd4e3b0c634abfe386ca811cd9ef555db4b18567d56add04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 34c | 17,647$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.98 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +151%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 66c | 10,774$7,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,662.34 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 4,587$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.87 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 66c | 3,788$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.76 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 58c | 1,988$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.63 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 52c | 1,854$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.33 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Over | 44c | 1,816$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.01 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 1,630$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.56 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.1 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 55c | 1,154$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.77 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 46c | 679.89$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.27 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 48c | 414.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 66c | 378.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.58 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +11.0wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 46c | 376.74$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.67 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 58c | 350$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 61c | 310.56$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 55c | 299.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.29 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 40c | 277.88$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.32 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 66c | 257.35$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 261 | 48.7%127 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 55c | 255.25$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.9 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 78c | 254.99$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 66c | 222$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 217 | 54.4%118 W · 99 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 23c | 206.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 54c | 203.88$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 395 | 49.9%197 W · 198 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 42c | 202.9$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.68 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 46c | 172.76$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.29 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 46c | 141.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 53c | 133.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.01 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 119$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 116.31$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Over | 46c | 110.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 45c | 107$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 56c | 98.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 54c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 45c | 78.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…22ebbacked Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Over | 66c | 75.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 45c | 73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1737…2b2fbacked Over | 70c | 71.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 53c | 69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 66c | 63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 51c | 61.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 43c | 60.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…802dbacked Over | 69c | 55.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 45c | 53.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 56c | 49.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…e1d9backed Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…880abacked Over | 66c | 36.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 66c | 28.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 46c | 22.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 313 | 59.7%187 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 57c | 21.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 424 | 25.9%110 W · 314 L | -32.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Henan FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Henan FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Henan FC: Henan FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Henan FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.