Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6741d43ec1f6e8f96a4d8ff527a6c3f3114aee6362d65f9cc1de2100b36dd77b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 67c | 5,143$3,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.14 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 27c | 2,084$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.56 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 33c | 1,941$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.29 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 79c | 1,698$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.61 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 22c | 793.79$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.26 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 65c | 183.17$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.11 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 33c | 129$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 33c | 96.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 33c | 91.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 65c | 69.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 79c | 53.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 79c | 53.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 67c | 28.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Yes | 80c | 25.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 80c | 21.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 80c | 17.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Henan FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Henan FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Henan FC: Henan FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Henan FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.