Mls · resolved market

Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91fe649dc4480e8abca6c5d92fb6295ee86fcf3e427c9c825329412ac9f6816a

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $25,300
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $25,294

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,300 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Mls
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over	18c	7,470$1,327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,327.33	993	40.1%398 W · 595 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Under	55c	4,900$2,695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,204.98	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.32per pick	52cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked Over	45c	4,548$2,046 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,046.43	54	50%27 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over	46c	3,495$1,608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,607.7	355	50.4%179 W · 176 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	46c	2,802$1,289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,288.91	394	35.8%141 W · 253 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under	54c	2,463$1,330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,132.79	177	40.7%72 W · 105 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	72c	1,861$1,339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$522.88	1,880	36.6%688 W · 1,192 L	-7.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b4…9fc9backed Under	54c	1,389$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$638.88	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	54c	992.65$536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$456.62	1,270	48%610 W · 660 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Over	40c	935.3$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.12	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over	33c	715.96$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.45	382	46.1%176 W · 206 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbd0…3447backed Over	6c	544$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.64	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	54c	462$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.52	215	47.9%103 W · 112 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under	54c	431.28$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.39	264	50%132 W · 132 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	88	53.4%47 W · 41 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	20c	204.38$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.67	1,262	45.2%571 W · 691 L	-28.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	54c	200$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	99	44.4%44 W · 55 L	-5.6wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over	45c	132.89$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.8	92	53.3%49 W · 43 L	+7.6wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under	57c	127$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.61	201	33.3%67 W · 134 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over	45c	111.42$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.14	57	59.6%34 W · 23 L	+5.3wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	54c	93$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.78	351	49.6%174 W · 177 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	56c	85.66$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.69	3,012	43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L	-29.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over	45c	79.73$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.88	109	57.8%63 W · 46 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9c…601abacked Over	45c	74.96$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.73	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-4.3wins	-0.27per pick	39cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	55c	74.7$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.29	1,301	51.2%666 W · 635 L	-19.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	18c	69$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.37	820	44.5%365 W · 455 L	-16.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	45c	62$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.9	333	46.8%156 W · 177 L	-14.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	42c	60.2$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.26	967	56.8%549 W · 418 L	+73.1wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over	44c	58.57$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.77	196	41.3%81 W · 115 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	56c	52.12$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.16	483	44.9%217 W · 266 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under	54c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	128	50%64 W · 64 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over	43c	49.12$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.12	32	68.8%22 W · 10 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Under	57c	49.12$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.12	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65ee…3240backed Over	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Over	44c	43.91$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.32	156	38.5%60 W · 96 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	54c	35.26$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.22	734	38.1%280 W · 454 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	46c	32.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	167	44.3%74 W · 93 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	46c	28$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.88	328	48.8%160 W · 168 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over	43c	27.8$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	198	52.5%104 W · 94 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8af…9426backed Under	57c	25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.75	29	69%20 W · 9 L	+3.8wins	+0.13per pick	56cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed Under	54c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under	55c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	129	51.2%66 W · 63 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under	56c	19$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.36	145	60.7%88 W · 57 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	74c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.85	1,444	36.8%532 W · 912 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5this page
Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 0.5Under won
Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 1.5Under won
Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 0.5Over won
Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 1.5Under won
Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 0.5Over won
Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 1.5Under won
Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)San Diego FC won
Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)San Diego FC won
Spread: San Diego FC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event