Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf3d9b4ea51106b5fa9fc236e787d8f7af882ac4215684d938af93e2208298a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 35c | 3,195$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.06 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 66c | 2,727$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.74 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 1,061$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.93 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 35c | 285$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 35c | 268.08$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.83 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 35c | 165.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 35c | 146.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 69c | 102.04$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 63c | 85.84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Over | 36c | 66.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Over | 35c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 34c | 46.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 66c | 42.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Over | 36c | 31.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 35c | 29.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked Over | 42c | 28.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 1.5this page
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)San Diego FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)San Diego FC won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.