Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cce788cb514bb60ad119512d7e58f4a4ba444a5fa462b434c61bcc43b32c08b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 3,160$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.29 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 14c | 2,280$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.06 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 40c | 859.11$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.48 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 45c | 668.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.47 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd04…c5e1backed Under | 74c | 660.61$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.86 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 34c | 498.36$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.44 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 64c | 417.08$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.95 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 16c | 366$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.44 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed Over | 3c | 350$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb67a…340bbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 15c | 275.86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.48 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…cce5backed Over | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 5c | 245$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.91 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 21c | 132.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…601abacked Over | 18c | 131.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Over | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 31cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 80c | 89.08$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 79c | 77.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.09 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 64.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 59c | 55.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked Under | 46c | 41.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Over | 55c | 37.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 56c | 36.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 55c | 36.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Over | 54c | 29.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 66c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…3447backed Under | 60c | 18.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…b037backed Over | 71c | 17.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)San Diego FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)San Diego FC won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.