Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8283830ed894102b26c910140f54f607c2f17769d7c98738a3de08ab14f92569
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Yes | 68c | 3,524$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 55c | 3,241$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.61 | 1,449 | 36.8%533 W · 916 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 64c | 1,615$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.84 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 37c | 1,500$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.96 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 50c | 1,424$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.6 | 1,888 | 36.5%690 W · 1,198 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 1,363$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.81 | 3,018 | 43.6%1,316 W · 1,702 L | -28.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 64c | 1,209$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.07 | 404 | 35.4%143 W · 261 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 45c | 1,050$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.98 | 485 | 45.2%219 W · 266 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 39c | 746.94$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.34 | 175 | 45.1%79 W · 96 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 34c | 597.28$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.35 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 46c | 446.15$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.23 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 31c | 405.01$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.45 | 527 | 39.5%208 W · 319 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Yes | 65c | 368.52$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 52c | 331.84$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.99 | 1,271 | 45.4%577 W · 694 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 36c | 275.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.64 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 34c | 243.02$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.63 | 682 | 50.7%346 W · 336 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 37c | 227.68$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.41 | 1,306 | 51.2%669 W · 637 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 53c | 201$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.71 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 55c | 197$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.67 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 40c | 159$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.8 | 205 | 33.2%68 W · 137 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 50c | 149.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 43c | 149.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 36c | 144.6$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.48 | 532 | 24.1%128 W · 404 L | -24.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 46c | 133.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 805 | 49.9%402 W · 403 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Yes | 45c | 115$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 46c | 112$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 446 | 50.7%226 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 63c | 109$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 54c | 102.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 64c | 96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 55c | 76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 873 | 54.6%477 W · 396 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 40c | 68.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 972 | 56.5%549 W · 423 L | +71.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d16…addabacked Yes | 64c | 59.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 62c | 57.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 170 | 48.8%83 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 46c | 52.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 20c | 50.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 356 | 47.5%169 W · 187 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 54c | 46.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 35c | 37.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 1,278 | 47.9%612 W · 666 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 35c | 33.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked Yes | 65c | 33.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 38c | 27.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce3…c36cbacked Yes | 46c | 26.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)San Diego FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)San Diego FC won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.