Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2438ebafec08067c806d0bf85fad4dd2c6ce20afd0e401be373b33e7d04a6ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 22c | 6,419$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.08 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 18c | 3,891$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.47 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 67c | 3,121$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.75 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.99 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 68c | 2,721$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Under | 46c | 2,153$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced4…5055backed Over | 12c | 1,500$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 32c | 1,418$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.34 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 67c | 1,209$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.03 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 33c | 1,188$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.75 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 32c | 1,002$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.43 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 20c | 878.05$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.53 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…3447backed Over | 16c | 860.88$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 32c | 781$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.08 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 22c | 729$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.38 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 33c | 677.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.59 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 27c | 634.89$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.99 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 67c | 633.52$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.46 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 50c | 556$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.71 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb23c…61a7backed Over | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 66c | 377.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.23 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 28c | 314$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x834d…0c31backed Over | 28c | 271$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 258.85$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.48 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 12c | 236.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 36c | 202$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.28 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.25per pick | 34cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 69c | 183.23$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.83 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 166.95$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.72 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 72c | 156.25$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 65c | 152$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 34c | 147.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.27 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 33c | 145.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.93 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 33c | 138$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.46 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 37c | 133.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.14 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 67c | 108.78$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…601abacked Over | 28c | 105.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 67c | 91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 68c | 88.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 60c | 74.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 59c | 66.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 40c | 63.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Under | 34c | 55.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Under | 32c | 53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 33c | 49.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 32c | 48.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Over | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 64c | 39.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 66c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 56c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f65…ec56backed Over | 67c | 29.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.51per pick | 71cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d39…ba51backed Over | 68c | 25.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 78c | 23.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)San Diego FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)San Diego FC won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.