South American Leagues · resolved market

Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x452b57135dcbe645809eb0c239f623dbd60d19fd4da16471a25887505ead0e4b

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $30,176
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $30,817

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,176 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over	52c	6,665$3,434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,231.4	491	36.3%178 W · 313 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Under	49c	6,114$2,996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,996.09	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	51c	4,004$2,042 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,961.96	87	56.3%49 W · 38 L	+7.7wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+21%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	41c	2,757$1,117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,640.2	752	40.8%307 W · 445 L	-17.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked Under	46c	1,655$761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760.59	111	43.2%48 W · 63 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked Under	49c	1,438$704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$704.37	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	58c	1,434$831 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$830.52	8,107	48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L	+26.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under	2c	1,250$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.89	124	34.7%43 W · 81 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over	51c	784.31$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.31	212	52.4%111 W · 101 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	52c	759.58$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.89	2,514	39%980 W · 1,534 L	-32.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under	48c	640.82$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.59	224	57.1%128 W · 96 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under	48c	600$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288	240	53.8%129 W · 111 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed Under	45c	550.86$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	45c	487.27$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.02	2,281	34.3%782 W · 1,499 L	-30.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Under	64c	468.75$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.28per pick	53cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under	50c	457.12$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.56	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	57c	422.25$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.64	519	45.7%237 W · 282 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under	48c	400$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	195	59.5%116 W · 79 L	+7.6wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	49c	381$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.69	1,651	50.6%836 W · 815 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	49c	381$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.69	2,335	51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L	+2.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	74c	328.16$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.41	1,290	42.8%552 W · 738 L	-2.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	51c	323.19$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.75	668	37.1%248 W · 420 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a36…79d3backed Under	50c	307.69$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.85	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under	49c	299.97$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.98	559	46%257 W · 302 L	-19.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	63c	278$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.2	506	43.9%222 W · 284 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Under	50c	215$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.6	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	249	56.6%141 W · 108 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	213	58.7%125 W · 88 L	+7.1wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	288	51.7%149 W · 139 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	230	56.5%130 W · 100 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e6…794ebacked Over	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	47	14.9%7 W · 40 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65ee…3240backed Over	52c	193.87$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.87	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Over	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf006…4d60backed Under	53c	165.13$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under	48c	156$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.88	153	59.5%91 W · 62 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90a1…fb15backed Over	51c	133.96$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.64	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	74c	132.12$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.88	1,253	56.2%704 W · 549 L	+73.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xae26…fdb3backed Over	78c	128.21$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.21	4	75%3 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	77cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	67c	126.59$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.22	256	35.9%92 W · 164 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under	48c	104.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.75	350	46.3%162 W · 188 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	59c	95.21$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.52	951	55.8%531 W · 420 L	+31.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under	59c	95.18$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.51	601	56.2%338 W · 263 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x369e…d016backed Under	62c	93.39$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.9	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.15per pick	59cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e82…7ab7backed Over	51c	88.24$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.24	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	49c	84.29$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.3	2,611	54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L	+25.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under	60c	83$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.74	412	62.1%256 W · 156 L	+13.7wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over	29c	80.86$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.49	194	47.9%93 W · 101 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	51c	78.37$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.4	1,439	37.5%540 W · 899 L	+4.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under	49c	77.8$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.12	58	50%29 W · 29 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb575…d35bbacked Under	23c	73.96$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.01	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under	57c	72.71$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.15	506	56.3%285 W · 221 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Over	51c	68.92$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.77	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	49c	53$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.97	2,170	43.7%948 W · 1,222 L	-53.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc36…0665backed Over	51c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	49c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	485	47.6%231 W · 254 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa151…03b0backed Under	50c	46$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	50c	45.22$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.61	1,302	50.2%653 W · 649 L	-13.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under	61c	40$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.48	160	50.6%81 W · 79 L	+7.3wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under	48c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	242	57%138 W · 104 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	150	57.3%86 W · 64 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d4…6b58backed Over	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	49c	34.76$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.03	787	56.4%444 W · 343 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under	60c	34.13$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.47	694	53.5%371 W · 323 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	53c	31.79$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.85	1,537	45.2%695 W · 842 L	+21.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Over	79c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.3	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	65cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under	52c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	178	52.8%94 W · 84 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc5b…1ddfbacked Under	49c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	49c	29.41$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.41	452	53.1%240 W · 212 L	+14.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	48c	28.61$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.73	180	50%90 W · 90 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under	59c	26.8$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.94	164	59.8%98 W · 66 L	+7.8wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Over	48c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.36per pick	44cpaid	+85.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under	49c	24.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.25	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x077c…5df1backed Under	49c	21.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-3.9wins	-0.18per pick	59cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under	49c	21.57$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.57	232	53%123 W · 109 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28b1…dc74backed Over	51c	21.57$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.57	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.15per pick	42cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Over	51c	21.57$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.57	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under	62c	21$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.09	210	44.3%93 W · 117 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5this page
Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: CF Cruz Azul O/U 0.5Over won
Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: CF Cruz Azul O/U 1.5Under won
Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: CF Cruz Azul O/U 2.5Under won
Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: Club Tijuana O/U 0.5Over won
Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: Club Tijuana O/U 1.5Over won
Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 0.5Over won
Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 1.5Over won
Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 3.5Under won
Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 4.5Under won
Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)Club Tijuana won
Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)Club Tijuana won
Spread: Club Tijuana (-1.5)CF Cruz Azul won
Spread: Club Tijuana (-2.5)CF Cruz Azul won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event