South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27e4f3a6a0664d0484869e6320c4e09ec87adc0900fe90695beba002d98fae16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 1,729$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.84 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 38c | 1,433$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.78 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 63c | 1,128$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.49 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 510.02$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.12 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 52c | 414.64$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.46 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 54c | 269.56$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Yes | 57c | 175.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 149.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.07 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 38c | 139.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Yes | 45c | 137.65$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.71 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 106.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 59c | 84.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 54c | 62.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 55c | 61.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 48c | 59.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 60c | 59.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 43c | 57.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 43c | 51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 57c | 47.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb067…d211backed Yes | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 62c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 36c | 35.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d4…6b58backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2367…75a4backed Yes | 58c | 33.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 43c | 33.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…095bbacked Yes | 62c | 32.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed No | 64c | 25.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed No | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 62c | 20.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 63c | 19.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 57c | 18.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: CF Cruz Azul O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: CF Cruz Azul O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: CF Cruz Azul O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: Club Tijuana O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: Club Tijuana O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)Club Tijuana won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)Club Tijuana won
- Spread: Club Tijuana (-1.5)CF Cruz Azul won
- Spread: Club Tijuana (-2.5)CF Cruz Azul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.