South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: CF Cruz Azul O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e5095c90ad23d0a44f666fe4bd847c527c47f48810cac7b50702b07e6668882
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 2,273$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.39 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 47c | 1,052$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.27 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 55c | 720.06$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.93 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 48c | 650$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.25 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 47c | 462.02$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.15 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 53c | 372.18$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.97 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 45c | 271.17$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.77 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 49c | 243.8$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.68 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 44c | 189.81$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 43c | 187.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 43c | 182.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.59 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 44c | 165.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.19 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 45c | 149.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 45c | 97.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 48c | 75.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 57c | 63.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 45c | 61.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 52c | 52.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 55c | 51.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…7bd0backed Over | 45c | 30.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Over | 57c | 29.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7d…7161backed Under | 71c | 28.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 53c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 416 | 62%258 W · 158 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 54c | 27.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 55c | 27.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 48c | 26.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 48c | 24.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 57c | 20.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 54c | 19.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 53c | 19.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 632 | 61.2%387 W · 245 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 62c | 16.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: CF Cruz Azul O/U 1.5this page
- Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: CF Cruz Azul O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: CF Cruz Azul O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: Club Tijuana O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: Club Tijuana O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)Club Tijuana won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)Club Tijuana won
- Spread: Club Tijuana (-1.5)CF Cruz Azul won
- Spread: Club Tijuana (-2.5)CF Cruz Azul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.