TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,307
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,369

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,307 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under40c2,204$886 inLost-$886.232,28734.3%784 W · 1,503 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over62c990.21$614 inWon+$376.281,44745.9%664 W · 783 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over76c942$717 inWon+$225.1649136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under27c854.9$231 inLost-$230.52,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over65c748.9$484 inWon+$265.3575240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over79c485.1$382 inWon+$103.225635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under24c273.42$65 inLost-$65.25,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over77c259.74$200 inWon+$59.7421252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under46c240.52$110 inLost-$110.313149.6%65 W · 66 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7356…04cfbacked Over59c211.86$125 inWon+$86.862657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under28c106.67$30 inLost-$30.121752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbd0…3447backed Under25c96$24 inLost-$24560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+52.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over72c95.25$69 inWon+$26.6716349.7%81 W · 82 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under24c76$18 inLost-$18.2423453%124 W · 110 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under24c64.99$16 inLost-$15.618050%90 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ba…9ac0backed Over76c58.68$45 inWon+$14.087100%7 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under24c53.71$13 inLost-$12.8919340.4%78 W · 115 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under46c41.47$19 inLost-$18.987248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over56c40$22 inWon+$17.585220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over49c34.9$17 inWon+$17.819447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Over61c34.48$21 inWon+$13.4550656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over71c32.66$23 inWon+$9.3451945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over76c29.71$23 inWon+$7.1321366.7%142 W · 71 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over62c25.57$16 inWon+$9.7795155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over76c17.73$13 inWon+$4.262,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Over62c17$11 inWon+$6.4641662%258 W · 158 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Over62c16.57$10 inWon+$6.360156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd97…ae50backed Over76c15.67$12 inWon+$3.815164.7%33 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c78…e29bbacked Over73c15$11 inWon+$4.052875%21 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.